Despite being the favorite for this weekend’s UFC Fight Night main event, the betting public is expecting Alistair Overeem to fall flat on his face.
Overeem takes on Augusto Sakai and his best odds of -154 give him a 60.6% implied probability of coming out on top.
However, as of Wednesday, 66.66% of bets are on Sakai to pull off the upset.
Overeem is coming off a May TKO victory over Walt Harris, but has lost three of his last six fights.
Sakai’s odds currently sit at +150, giving him a 40% chance he defeats Overeem.
Sakai is 15-1-1 in his career. His lone loss coming to Cheick Kongo while fighting for Bellator. He’s 5-0 in the UFC.
Overeem is the 6th ranked heavyweight in the UFC. Sakai is ranked 9th in the division.