UFC 253 Odds: Reyes vs. Blachowicz Betting Breakdown

The betting public and oddsmakers are split on Saturday's co-main event at UFC 253
Brian Good
Sat, September 26, 2:06 PM EDT

Reyes vs. Blachowicz Preview

Every sports fan in the world knows that UFC 253 is being headlined by the blockbuster Israel Adesanya vs. Paulo Costa fight. But, right before the Adesanya/Costa fight is the other co-main event, one that features Jan Blachowicz and Dominick Reyes and is sure to produce fireworks from the opening bell.

Jan Blachowicz

Blachowicz is the more experienced fighter in his bout against Reyes. At 37 years old, he’s compiled a 26-8 record and been fighting in the UFC since October 2014.

Blachowicz comes into Saturday’s co-main event on a three-fight win streak. He’s defeated Corey Anderson, Ronald Souza and Luke Rockhold leading up to the bout. His last defeat came via TKO against Thiago Santos in February 2019. He’s the 3rd-ranked light heavyweight in the UFC.

Dominick Reyes

Reyes, at age 30, has only had 13 professional fights in his career. He started out on a 12-fight win streak before losing his last bout. You can look at it one of two ways. Either you see him coming off a loss as a negative, because it’s the first of his career, or you acknowledge that the loss was to Jon Jones, one of the greatest UFC fighters of all time and the current No. 1 ranked pound-for-pound fighter in the UFC, and count it as a valuable learning experience.

Reyes vs. Blachowicz Betting Breakdown

As of Saturday afternoon, oddsmakers don’t seem to give the veteran Blachowicz much of a chance to top Reyes.

At +225, he has just a 30.8% implied probability of pulling off the upset. Meanwhile, Reyes comes in at -200 and is as short as -285 in some places. Those -200 odds imply oddsmakers give him a 66.7% chance of getting back in the win column.

But, just like in the Saturday’s other main event, the betting public is going with the underdog. 61.25% of the bets on the outright winner of Saturday’s Blachowicz vs. Reyes fight are on Blachowicz, while 28.75% of the betting public is backing Reyes.

Reyes vs. Blachowicz Odds

Fighter Odds Public Betting % Winnings on $10 Wager 
Dominick Reyes -200 61.25% $5
Jan Blachowicz +225 28.75% $22.50
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