Edwards vs. Muhammad Odds: Bettors, Oddsmakers Picking Edwards to Win

Bettors and oddmakers both expect Leon Edwards to handle Belal Muhammad in Saturday's main event
Brian Good
Sat, March 13, 6:19 AM EST

UFC Fight Night Edwards vs. Muhammad: Majority of Bettors Picking Edwards to Win

Last weekend, the UFC rolled out its best card of 2021 with UFC 259 featuring three title fights at the top. Now, just a week later, the card for UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad doesn’t have quite the same star power, but there is still good value to take advantage of.

More specifically, bettors have their eyes on the main event as Leon Edwards and Belal Muhammad go head-to-head. Both come in with 18-3 career professional MMA records but there is a clear betting favorite in the eyes of oddsmakers.

Despite the similar record, Leon Edwards is the much more promising fighter. Edwards is the No. 3 contender in the welterweight division, trailing just Colby Covington and Gilbert Burns for a title shot. Edwards hasn’t lost a fight since 2015, when he fell by decision to current champion Kamaru Usman.

As for Muhammad, he’s the No. 13 contender in the division. He’s coming in riding a four-fight win streak but oddsmakers are expecting Edwards to handle him, according to the way they priced up the fight.

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad Betting

It’s been more than five years since Leon Edwards has lost a professional bout, and the odds indicate that streak will continue through Saturday night. Edwards’ best odds currently sit at -250, odds that are indicative of a 71.4% chance of victory.

Meanwhile, Muhammad can be bet at +225 at bet365, his best odds. Those odds imply oddsmakers think he has a 30.4% chance to pull off the upset.

Read our UFC experts picks and full fight-card prediction for UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad

But how are bettors betting Saturday’s UFC Fight Night main event? Much like the oddsmakers are pricing it up.

As of Saturday morning, 71.43% of all moneyline wagers are backing the favorite Edwards and 28.57% are picking Muhammad to win.

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad Odds

Fighter Odds Implied Probability Public Betting
Leon Edwards -250 71.4% 71.43%
Belal Muhammad +225 30.4% 28.57%
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