Woodley vs. Luque Odds: Oddsmakers, Bettors Split For UFC 260 Bout

Tryron Woodley's fall from grace has been swift. Can he get back to his winning ways on Saturday at UFC 260 against Vicente Luque?
Brian Good
Fri, March 26, 10:42 AM EDT

Woodley vs. Luque Odds: Oddsmakers, Bettors Split on UFC 260 Bout

There are so many top-tier fights scheduled for Saturday’s UFC 260 that it’s almost tough to keep track. Among those fights scheduled for the star-studded card is a bout between former UFC welterweight champion Tryron Woodley and Vicente Luque.

Woodley and Luque are in the midst of two very different streaks in their careers, despite similar records as professional fighters.

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Woodley was once in the conversation for best pound-for-pound fighter in the company. He became champion in 2015 and successfully defended the belt five straight times, ripping through the welterweight division.

Then, in 2019, Woodley met his match in current champion Kamaru Usman and lost by unanimous decision. Since then, he’s lost two more fights in a row, bringing the total skid to three straight and setting off an unparalleled downward spiral for a fighter considered one of the best in the sport just 1.5 years ago.

As for Luque, he started his professional MMA career with an 11-6-1 record but has won eight of his last nine fights and has moved up to the No. 10 contender within the division. His lone loss came to Stephen Thompson in November of 2019.

Woodley vs. Luque UFC 260 Betting

A few months ago, if I had told you that Tyron Woodley was a massive underdog in a bout against Vicente Luque you would have thought I was crazy. But that’s exactly where we are with Woodley now following his three straight losses.

As of Friday afternoon, Woodley is +210 to get his first win since September of 2018, about 2.5 years. Those odds indicate oddsmakers giving Woodley just a 32.3% chance he wins outright on Saturday night.

Luque is currently sitting at -240, which is indicative of an over 70% implied probability he’s standing in the center of the octagon with his hand raised at the end of the fight.

The oddsmakers have made up their minds in this one and so have the betting public, but they’re not backing Luque. Instead, 80% of the outright wagers on this fight have come in on Woodley to pull off the upset and get back into form come Saturday night.

Woodley vs. Luque UFC 260 Odds

Fighter ML Odds Implied Probability Public Betting
Tyron Woodley +210 32.3% 80%
Vicente Luque -240 70.6% 20%
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