UFC 261 Odds: 69.7% Of Bets On Jorge Masvidal To Upset Kamaru Usman

If public betting is anything to go by then there could be a huge upset at UFC 261 this weekend
Kyle Newman
Tue, April 20, 1:29 PM EDT

Kamaru Usman is 18-1, he’s 12-0 in the UFC, and he hasn’t lost since 2013. That’s why he’s the heavy oddsmakers’ favorite. Despite that, bettors believe that Usman’s time is up. Jorge Masvidal, who is getting his second crack at Usman, is the bettors’ favorite.

Kamaru Usman v Jorge Masvidal Odds

Over the last 7 days, 69.7% of bets placed on the fight have been placed on Masvidal. Masvidal is the massive underdog coming into the fight, as he’s been given +335 odds. Those odds equate to just a 23% chance to win the fight.

You can read our expert handicapper's picks for UFC 261 here.

Meanwhile, Usman has been given -400 odds, or an implied 80% chance to retain his title. Still, only 30.3% of bets have been placed on Usman to win the fight.

New fight, same result. When Usman last defended his belt, in a fight against Gilbert Burns, Usman was the heavy oddsmakers’ favorite and the heavy bettors’ underdog. In fact, in the fight against Burns, over 70% of bets were on Burns to win. So, this is actually an improvement on the betting market for Usman. Perhaps bettors want to see Usman lose. Perhaps, his odds are simply too strong to bet on. Whatever the case, Usman is clearly not a favorite of bettors.




Implied chance

Kamaru Usman



Jorge Masvidal



You can read our expert handicapper's picks for UFC 261 here.



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