Rutgers vs. Michigan Odds: Unbeaten Rutgers Has Just 11.8% Chance to Win

Rutgers vs Michigan odds have the Wolverines as 19.5-point favorites at home with massively lopsided moneyline odds. Can unbeaten Rutgers shock the world?
Brian Good
Mon, September 20, 3:27 AM EDT

Rutgers vs. Michigan Odds: Unbeaten Rutgers Has Just 11.8% Chance to Win

Rutgers football isn’t exactly a Big 10 powerhouse program. As a matter of fact, since 2015 the most wins the Scarlet Knights have racked up in a season has been four. But, it looks like they may be turning the corner under new (old?) head coach Greg Schiano as they’ve gotten out to a 3-0 start to the year.

The real test comes this week, as the Scarlet Knights travel to the Big House to take on fellow unbeaten Big 10 foe Michigan.

This year is an exciting time for the Big 10. Ohio State, who has dominated the conference in recent memory, looks beatable. Teams like Iowa, Penn State, Michigan, Michigan State and Rutgers look to be much improved. Saturday’s Rutgers vs. Michigan showdown will go a long way in painting a picture for the Big 10 champion this season.

But, unfortunately for Rutgers, the latest Rutgers vs. Michigan odds aren’t giving them much of a chance to pull off the upset. As 19-point underdogs, it seems as though oddsmakers aren’t giving the Scarlet Knights much respect.

Is Rutgers for real or do the oddsmakers know best? We’ll find out this weekend, but let’s take a look at Rutgers vs. Michigan odds.

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Rutgers vs. Michigan

Date: Saturday, September 25

Time: 3:30 PM ET

Location: Michigan Stadium (Ann Arbor, IL)

Michigan Record: 3-0

Rutgers Record: 3-0

Rutgers vs. Michigan Preview

It’s been almost impossible to really tell what Michigan has in starting QB Cade McNamara because he hasn’t been asked to air it out yet. The key to Rutgers winning on Saturday will be shutting down the Michigan run game and forcing McNamara to show whether or not he has what it takes to be the starting QB at Michigan.

Unfortunately for Rutgers, that is no easy task.

Michigan running back Blake Corum has basically been unstoppable this season. Corum has broken 100 yards on the ground in all three of Michigan’s games this season, including an insane 171-yard performance against Washington.

Corum has 407 yards on 48 carries so far this year. That gives him a monstrous 8.5 yards per carry in 2021. No wonder McNamara hasn’t been asked to throw the ball, Corum basically gets a first down every time he carries the ball.

The Rutgers run defense has been stingy this year, but they haven’t faced a team with a line or running back as good as Michigan’s. The key to the game is getting Jim Harbaugh off his ground-and0pound gameplan early and making McNamara try and beat you.

On offense, the Scarlett Knights need to get their own running back, Isaih Pacheco, going. There is no way that forcing QB Noah Verdal to air it out against this Michigan team is going to turn out well. They need to control the time of possession and run the ball well. That way Verdal can pick his spots.

Rutgers vs. Michigan Odds

Sure, it was expected that Michigan would be favored to beat Rutgers when Rutgers vs. Michigan odds came out. But do the Wolverines deserve to be 19-point favorites?

The Wolverines have played no one so far. Their wins against Western Michigan and Northern Illinois mean nothing and their victory over Washington, which lost to an FCS school, may be even more worthless.

Still, that hasn’t stop Rutgers vs. Michigan odds from making Michigan -1250 favorites, odds that imply a 92.6% chance they win. Meanwhile, Rutgers sits at +750.

Team

Odds

Implied Probability

Rutgers

+750

11.8%

Michigan

-1250

92.6%

Rutgers vs. Michigan odds

Rutgers vs. Michigan Betting

As is to be expected, the overwhelming majority of bets in this game have come in on Michigan. Not only are the wolverines a massively popular team, but most of the country still thinks of Rutgers as the Big 10 bottom dwellers.

So, seeing that 81.77% of all moneyline bets on Rutgers vs. Michigan odds have come in backing Michigan is hardly a surprise. Rutgers probably won’t win, stopping Corum will be a tall task that no team has been up to yet, but a close game can make the country take notice that they are for real under coach Schiano.

Team Public Betting %
Michigan 81.77%
Rutgers 18.23%
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