Oregon vs. Stanford Odds, Preview, and Prediction: Cardinals Open As Big Home Underdogs
Oregon Ducks vs. Stanford Cardinals
Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Location: Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA
Stanford Cardinal Record: 2-2, 1-1 Pac-12
Oregon Ducks Record: 4-0, 1-0 Big Pac-12
The No. 3 Oregon Ducks are soaring behind a four-game winning streak for the first time since 2014. The Ducks improved to 4-0 on the back of a commanding 41-19 win over Arizona. Now, the Ducks are poised to go 5-0 SU for the first time since 2013.
Stanford Cardinals succumbed to a 35-24 loss against UCLA in their last lap around college football action. Saturday's home loss marked their second defeat on the season as the Cardinal slip to a 2-2 record and a 1-1 mark in conference action.
Lookahead lines had Oregon vs. Stanford odds cornered with the Ducks at -8. Following the conclusion of Week 4, the market opened with Oregon -8. The fact that bookmakers remained steadfast with Oregon as the 8-point favorite is telling. However, early betting trends reveal the public is grabbing the points with Cardinal at early doors.
Stanford Cardinal Preview
Stanford is coming off a disappointing home loss to the Chip Kelly-inspired UCLA Bruins on Saturday. The Cardinal closed as the 4-point home underdogs, but they failed to whiff at the point spread in the 35-24 loss to their Pac-12 rivals.
Saturday's loss was down to several factors:
First, the Cardinal's offense struggled, putting up just 202 yards of total offense. Second, the defense parting like the Red Sea and allowing the Bruins to put up a staggering 516 yards in total offense didn't help matters either.
It's fair to say that the Cardinals shot themselves in the foot because such a vast discrepancy between offense and defense will always make winning an exercise in futility.
It was an uphill battle from the off.
Oregon Ducks Preview
Oregon's schedule was no picnic to start the season, but they persevered admirably. The Ducks beat Fresno State in their season opener 31-24, and then, they orchestrated the 35-28 upset over the Ohio State Buckeyes in Week 2. Oregon closed as the +14.5 road underdogs to the Buckeyes, making the feat all the more impressive in every respect.
Most recently, the Ducks beat the Arizona Wildcats by a 22-point margin on Saturday. So getting the win was vital, and Oregon is riding roughshod over the Pac-12 field and enjoying a high ranking in the AP Top 25 as a result. However, the margin of victory wasn't big enough to cover the 29.5-point closing spread.
Perhaps, the spread, to begin with, was way too big. But in the grand scheme of things, all that matters is winning. The win was a total team effort, with all three facets of the game stepping up. Quarterback Anthony Brown threw for 206 yards, three touchdowns, and no interceptions. The defense held the Cardinal to just 19 points, and special teams made big plays.
Oregon Ducks vs. Stanford Cardinal Odds
|Oregon||-315||-8||Over 57.5 (-110)|
|Stanford||+260||+8||Under 57.4 (-104)|
Considering the contrasting fortunes of these Pac-12 rivals, it's no surprise the NCAAF odds for the matchup between Oregon vs. Stanford are tipped towards the hosts. Few expect Cardinal to pull off the outright upset. Covering the spread is another matter entirely, though.
Books opened with the Ducks as the 8-point home favorites, and the NFL line has held strong since markets went to press. The total is projected on 58 points, suggesting this could turn into a shootout as well.
Oregon Ducks vs. Stanford Cardinal Betting Preview
Oregon is 4-0 SU with an average winning margin of 19.2. At the same time, Oregon is merely 1-3-0 ATS with a +0.5-point differential against the spread. The latter stats are interesting and suggest either bookmakers or the public or both have overstated Oregon's value in point-spread betting markets to their detriment.
Stanford is 2-2 SU and ATS with a narrow winning margin of 1 point and a +3-differential versus the spread. Thus, the betting trends for Stanford are modest and inconclusive. And yet, early betting trends reveal the public is almost exclusively on the Cardinal at +8.