Predicting the Four College Football Playoff Teams After Week 6
For the first time in nearly two years, Alabama lost a game. Some of the numbers from this game proving how much of an outlier it is were truly remarkable to see. For instance, Alabama had 100 straight wins over unranked opponents.
With Alabama’s loss in Week 6, some have begun to question whether or not Alabama is going to make it to the playoffs this year. Clearly, they’d have to win out the rest of the way but their only ranked opponent left on the schedule is Arkansas on November 20.
Taking into account everything that happened in Week 6, I’m going to do my best to predict which four teams will make it to the playoffs this year.
The number one team in the country is currently sitting at 6-0 and it’s easy to see why they’re ranked number one. They’ve beaten three ranked teams so far, including a 37-0 beatdown to eighth-ranked Arkansas. They also have two more ranked opponents left as they play Kentucky and Florida in their next two games.
If Georgia wins out, which at this point seems highly likely, and wins the SEC title game they’re a lock to make it. Heck, even with a loss in the title game chances are very high that they would make the playoffs.
Right now it doesn’t even matter that JT Daniels isn’t playing. Stetson Bennett has been more than fine in relief of Daniels and Georgia has continued to run the ball extremely well averaging 4.7 yards per carry on offense while their defense allows just 3.6 yards per play.
Oklahoma is 6-0 so far this year and coming off a big comeback win over Texas this past week. They play just one more ranked team in Oklahoma State in late November but have to take care of business against Texas Tech, Baylor, and Iowa State before they even get to that game.
Ironically, a team that is ranked fourth in the coaches' poll has a question mark at the quarterback position. Spencer Rattler was pulled against Texas and Caleb Williams led the comeback. It’s been a pretty rough showing for Rattler this year who started the year as a Heisman hopeful.
Still, the Sooners just find a way to win week in and week out. Even if they find a loss on their schedule at some point before the playoff this team looks destined for the playoffs.
A regular-season loss obviously hurts Alabama but I’m not sure where they find another one in the regular season. Heck, it’s been two years since they last lost before this week. Since 2008, Nick Saban has had a two-loss season just twice.
If they win out the regular season and win the Conference title then they make the playoffs. If they were to win out and lose the conference title they would still have a 62 percent chance of being a playoff team according to the Allstate Playoff Predictor.
I had a hard time figuring out who my final team would be. I thought about Michigan but I just don’t see them going on the road and beating Penn State. With Cincinnati’s schedule, their lone ranked game left is against SMU, I think they win out and have a very good chance at winning their conference as well.
If they do both of those things, the number three team in the country right now has a 90 percent chance of making the playoffs. Desmond Ridder has played really good football lately putting up six total touchdowns and no turnovers over the last two weeks.
College Football Playoff Predictions