Florida vs. Georgia Odds: Dawgs Given 85.5% Chance to Win World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party

No. 1-ranked Bulldogs listed as two-touchdown favorites for the 2021 edition of the World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party.
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Florida vs. Georgia Odds: Dawgs Given 85.5% Chance to Win World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party

The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party is always a can’t-miss spectacle on the annual college football betting calendar. This year, the stakes are heightened all the more as the top-ranked team in the country will be involved in this massive rivalry. The No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs will look to continue their unbeaten season and maintain their College Football Playoff aspirations when they take on the Florida Gators in Jacksonville on Saturday. Oddsmakers have dubbed Georgia as a two-touchdown favorite ahead of this neutral-site rivalry game.

Georgia vs. Florida Week 9 College Football Betting Odds, Picks, and Preview

Georgia Bulldogs (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS) vs. Florida Gators (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS)

Date: Saturday, October 30, 2021

Start Time: 3:30 PM EST

Location: TIAA Bank Field — Jacksonville, FL

TV Coverage: CBS

Florida vs. Georgia odds

Georgia Bulldogs Preview

Kirby Smart and Georgia have run into plenty of quality opponents in their first seven games this season. Not only have the Bulldogs beaten every single challenger to date, but they have largely dominated. The UGA defense powered the Dawgs to a season-opening statement win over perennial college football powerhouse, Clemson. The offense has held up its end of the bargain in every game since as well. The last three wins and the fashion in which they came are a clear indication of how talented this Georgia team is. They shut out a top-10 Arkansas team at home before going on the road and earning a 24-point win over Auburn. While Georgia failed to cover the point spread in their most recent victory over then-unbeaten Kentucky, it was a late touchdown that allowed the Wildcats to cover as massive underdogs.

Making Georgia’s 7-0 start and convincing wins over three quality SEC opponents even more impressive is that this Bulldogs team is nowhere near full strength. The most notable injury-related absence for UGA has been quarterback, J.T. Daniels. He continues to deal with a lat strain and Smart would not commit to him returning for Saturday’s college football betting matchup against rival Florida. Stetson Bennett has filled in admirably for him. He lit up a top-20 Kentucky scoring defense for 250 yards passing and three touchdowns. As per usual, the Bulldogs boast a talented stable of running backs, led by James Cook and Zamir White. And when it comes to scoring defense, no one is better than UGA. They enter this week’s contest allowing a puny 6.6 points per game to opponents!

Florida Gators Preview

Dan Mullen’s Gators have sputtered a bit upon reaching SEC Conference play. After a 2-0 start against lesser competition, Florida enters Saturday’s college football betting contest and has lost three of their last five games, all against conference foes. Florida impressed by playing Alabama to a two-point game to open up conference play. Unfortunately, venues away from Gainesville have not been particularly kind to this team. The Gators committed 15 penalties in a sloppy low-scoring loss at Kentucky. While thye were never flagged in their most recent contest, they failed to stop a maligned LSU offense in losing a 49-42 shootout.

One big concern for the Gators has turned out to be the quarterback position. This is a bit surprising given Mullen’s reputation as a QB whisperer. Both Emory Jones and Anthony Richardson saw snaps against LSU. While both threw for over 160 yards and combined for four touchdown passes, they also each threw two interceptions in the loss. Mullen announced on Monday that the Gators intend to play both signal-callers against Georgia on Saturday. It will be interesting to see what the offensive game plan is against the stout Bulldogs’ defense. Florida certainly will need to be more disciplined defensively than they were against LSU. Prior to that game, the Gators had held five of their six previous opponents to 20 points or less.

Georgia vs. Florida Betting Odds and Line Movement

TeamMoneylineML Implied ProbabilitySpreadTotal
Georgia-58885.5%-14 (-110)O 51 (-110)
Florida+49017.0%+14 (-105)U 51 (-110)

Florida vs. Georgia odds

The vast majority of tickets are on Georgia ahead of this Cocktail Party showdown. The Bulldogs have taken 80% of bets at the time of writing. This comes as no surprise given that the public certainly sees the No. 1 ranking next to UGA. However, perhaps some of that 80% are sharp in nature. After opening as 13.5-point favorites, Georgia is now laying an even -14 across the betting market. A couple of Las Vegas sportsbooks even list the Bulldogs at -14.5.

The over/under has risen sharply for this Georgia vs Florida matchup. After opening at 46.5, the total has been bet up to 51 across the market. Might this have something to do with the Gators’ poor defensive performance against LSU? The implied probability of the college football betting outright odds suggests that Georgia has over an 85% chance of winning this game and remaining unbeaten.

Georgia vs. Florida Betting Picks and Prediction

Other than the rivalry appeal of the World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party, it’s extremely difficult to make a case for why Georgia is laying nine points less against Florida than they did against Kentucky two weeks ago. While the Gators dominated the box score against the Wildcats, they still lost the game outright. Is the neutral site worth that many more points in the Gators’ favor? Probably not.

Neither side will have a rest advantage on Saturday after both received a customary bye week ahead of this clash. The momentum advantage, however, belongs to Kirby Smart’s squad. Georgia is rolling coming into this matchup and there is no end in sight. Will Dan Mullen’s plan to utilize both quarterbacks actually solve the best defense in the country? Teams simply cannot score against the Bulldogs. Furthermore, a top-notch offensive line should help the Dawgs to control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. A two-touchdown spread feels cheap regardless of whether Stetson Bennett or J.T. Daniels is under center for UGA. Bettors can also explore going under the newly adjusted total.

Georgia vs. Florida Prediction: Georgia -14 (-110)


Henry has had a passion for sports that few can match for as long as he can remember. What started out as a five-year-old taking interest in the New York Jets and their green jerseys has since become a full-fledged career as a writer and sports betting analyst. His coverage primarily includes the NFL, MLB, NBA, NASCAR, college football, and college basketball. In 2020, he ranked among the top-10 most accurate experts ATS in the BettingPros NFL season contest. You can follow Henry’s sports work on Twitter and other social media platforms @HankTimeSports.

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