Mississippi State vs. Auburn Betting Odds, Preview and Picks

Mississippi State vs. Auburn odds, predictions and picks for this Saturday's SEC game. Nikki Adams previews what we can expect come opening kick
Nikki Adams |
Tue, November 9, 3:09 PM EST | 4 min read
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Mississippi State vs. Auburn Betting Odds, Preview and Picks

No.16 Auburn welcomes Mississippi State this weekend in an SEC West showdown as both sides look to bounce back from disappointing results in Week 10. The Tigers are coming off a brutal 20-3 loss to Texas A&M while the Bulldogs succumbed to a narrow 31-28 loss to Arkansas.

On the heels of these setbacks, both programs are going to have to reconcile with dramatically understated goals for the remainder of the season. Separately, Mississippi is in dire need of a decent kicker – that is, if last week’s loss were any indication. And Auburn head coach Bryan Harsin has some soul-searching to do regarding the quarterback position.

As things currently stand, No.16 Auburn has the edge on the odds board. The Tigers are spotting anywhere between 5 to 5.5 points to the visiting Bulldogs and the total is tipped at 50 points. Does the market have it right?

Mississippi State vs. Auburn Week 11 College Football Betting Odds, Picks, and Preview

Mississippi State (5-4, 3-3 SEC) vs. Auburn (6-3, 3-2 SEC)

  • Date: Saturday, November 13, 2021
  • Start Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • Location: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
  • TV Coverage: ESPN

Mississippi State vs. Auburn Odds

Mississippi State Bulldogs Preview

Mississippi State is coming off a narrow 31-28 loss to Arkansas in a back-and-forth battle for bowl eligibility. The Bulldogs did pull off the cover as the 4-point road underdogs for their backers but it was small consolation for a loss that’s bound to sting for some time.

Mississippi State had the 28-23 lead with one minute left, only to have it erased and the all-important ‘W’ cruelly snatched out of their expectant clutches. Quarterback KJ Jefferson engineered a last-gasp touchdown-scoring drive on Arkansas’ last possession. The Razorbacks scored the go-ahead touchdown with 21 seconds left.

The Bulldogs did respond as quarterback Will Rogers marched his side down the field to set up a 40-yard field goal attempt with two seconds left. Alas, kicker Nolan McCord botched the final field-goal attempt, sending it wide left. McCord replaced Brandon Ruiz after Ruiz missed two previous field-goal attempts in the game.

Suffice it to say, it wasn’t a good kicking day for the Bulldogs. The three missed field goals were potentially deciding, prompting an exasperated coach Mike Leah to announce he was holding tryouts this week for a new kicker.

Speaking to the media in a postgame videoconference, Leah asked reporters to announce that he was holding open tryouts on campus for kickers. "Anybody that wants to kick or walk on and kick at Mississippi State, we'll hold a try-out any time you can get over there to our building, providing you're cleared by the NCAA."

Auburn Tigers Betting Preview

The Tigers whimpered to their worst loss of the season, losing 20-3 to Texas A&M. The Tigers closed as the 4.5-point road underdogs, but the loss wasn’t even that close as Auburn’s offense failed miserably in the face of Texas A&M’s defense.

The loss ended a two-game winning streak for Auburn, which included an eyebrow-raising upset win over No.17 Arkansas on the road on October 16.

Quarterback Bo Nixon was off-color and off-form for this pivotal SEC West showdown and the Aggies capitalized on his mistakes. He had a fumble early in the fourth quarter when the Tigers were down by six points, and a pick when the game was practically decided.

Coach Bryan Harsin wasn’t best pleased about his side’s overall performance, especially as it swung on a few late plays in the end. When asked if he considered a quarterback swap in the second half of the Texas A&M loss, he maintained it wasn’t a consideration. Earlier in the year, Harsin turned to T.J. Finley after benching Bo Nixon in Auburn’s comeback win over Georgia State.

Mississippi State vs. Auburn Odds

Mississippi State vs. Auburn Odds

Books opened with the Auburn Tigers as the 5-point home chalk while projecting the total to 50 points. Since open doors, the NCAAF line moved up to 5.5 at several shops as early money came down on the Tigers. Almost 70 percent of early bets are on the Tigers to cover as the noteworthy home chalk.

The game total appears to be holding firm on 50 points with betting split down the middle, but there’s a way to go before Saturday’s early afternoon kick-off  The game total line could still move a fraction either way, so it might be wise to wait and see which way this line moves before placing any over or under bets.

Mississippi State vs. Auburn Betting Predictions and Picks

Auburn’s clash with Texas A&M was touted as a litmus test for the Tigers as they entered the final stretch of the season. The fact that they were blown out by the Aggies in a lackluster and offensively-challenged contest takes the shine off of Auburn. Then again, confidence in Mississippi State has yet to register in the betting. The public appears to be backing the Tigers over the Bulldogs, who botched the battle for bowl eligibility.

To all intents and purposes, this game is a right tossup for NCAA picks. Both programs have had an up-and-down season, and that inconsistency could work both ways. Auburn has home advantage and Nixon needs a rebound performance after last week’s debacle, but the Bulldogs could give the Tigers a run for their money. With everything pointing to a close affair that could come down to the wire, hedging bets on this game with Auburn to win and Mississippi State to cover seems like the best play.  

Mississippi State vs. Auburn Picks: Mississippi State +5.5

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