Oklahoma vs. Baylor Odds: OU Perfect Season on the Line vs. Baylor

Oklahoma vs. Baylor odds, betting breakdown, preview and prediction ahead of this weekend's Big-12 game. College football expert Henry John breaks it down
Henry John |
Tue, November 9, 11:50 AM EST | 4 min read
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Oklahoma vs. Baylor Odds: OU Perfect Season on the Line vs Baylor

Among the most noteworthy college football games in Week 11 is a Big Noon battle between the Oklahoma Sooners and Baylor Bears. Both College Football Playoff hopes and Big 12 Conference title aspirations will be on the line when the two teams clash in Waco on Saturday. This could be a high-scoring affair, with offense undoubtedly being the strength of both teams. The college football betting odds view the road team as a modest favorite ahead of this Oklahoma vs Baylor showdown.

Oklahoma vs. Baylor Week 11 College Football Betting Odds, Picks, and Preview

Oklahoma Sooners (9-0 SU, 4-5 ATS) vs. Baylor Bears (7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS)

  • Date: Saturday, November 13, 2021
  • Start Time: 12 PM EST
  • Location: McLane Stadium — Waco, TX
  • TV Coverage: FOX

Oklahoma vs. Baylor odds

Oklahoma Sooners Preview

When we last saw Oklahoma in action two weeks ago, they rebounded nicely after an embarrassing win (if there ever was such a thing) over Kansas. The Sooners had little trouble with Texas Tech the following week, jumping out to a 28-7 halftime lead and rolling to a 31-point win. Unfortunately, the first College Football Playoff Rankings reflected the inability of Lincoln Riley’s team to earn convincing wins. The major scare three weeks ago against the Jayhawks was the latest in a season that has seen Oklahoma earn six of its nine wins by 12 points or less. They may be 9-0, but it hasn’t been a dominant run by any means.

Of course, the other big headline on the season to date for the Sooners was the change at quarterback. Since taking over for preseason Heisman Trophy favorite Spencer Rattler, Caleb Williams has done nothing but impress. The rout of Texas Tech was arguably his best statistical game yet, as he passed for over 400 yards and a whopping six touchdowns. Some college football betting analysts actually believe Williams might have an outside chance at winning the Heisman himself. Wideouts Marvin Mims and Mario Williams each had over 100 yards and three touchdowns between them in the win over TTU. Although the public perception is that the Sooners defense is much improved over seasons prior, they have still been burned for 27.2 points per game on the year.

Baylor Bears Preview

Not only will Baylor be at a rest disadvantage in Saturday’s Big 12 college football betting showdown, but they will also be looking to rebound after a poor performance this past week. The Bears were outgained by nearly 200 yards in their loss to a TCU team that had just let go of its longtime head coach. Defensive-minded coach Dave Aranda cannot be pleased with the effort of his defense last weekend. Perhaps Baylor got caught napping just a bit with this huge matchup against Oklahoma looming.

Quarterback Gerry Bohanon did throw three touchdown passes against the Horned Frogs on Saturday. Unfortunately, he also had two costly interceptions that negated drives. Even with a 100-yard rusher (Abram Smith) and 100-yard receiver (Tyquan Thornton), the Bears fell short on the scoreboard. In reality, the final margin of two points was closer than the game felt. The 30 points allowed was nearly ten more than Baylor has surrendered on average this season.

Oklahoma vs. Baylor Betting Odds and Line Movement

The following table displays the best Oklahoma vs Baylor college football betting odds and lines available in the market.

Oklahoma vs. Baylor odds

Relative to opening lines, the biggest move for this Big 12 matchup has come on the over/under. After oddsmakers initially opened the Oklahoma vs Baylor total at 61, the market has moved it up two points to the current 63. The point spread has only increased in size by a half-point going from Oklahoma -5 to -5.5. Despite not winning many games in convincing fashion all season, the Sooners are given nearly a 67% chance to emerge from Waco victorious on Saturday.

Oklahoma vs. Baylor Betting Picks and Prediction

With a rest advantage, this game is critical for Oklahoma to make a statement that they are for real. Currently, most college football betting analysts view them as a very mediocre unbeaten team. A convincing road win over another quality Big 12 team could change that narrative. Other than coming in halfway through the Red River Rivalry and leading the Sooners to a comeback win, this will be the toughest test that Caleb Williams has faced to date.

From a college football betting angle, the best approach to this game appears to be playing over on the total. Oklahoma and Baylor rank 1-2 in the Big 12 in both scoring offense and yards per game. Neither defense has been all that impressive against lesser offenses in the conference. It’s hard to envision these two teams really slowing the other down on Saturday.

Oklahoma vs. Baylor Prediction: Over 63 (-108)

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