Alabama vs. Arkansas Odds: Tide Given 93.2% Chance to Take Down Arkansas

Alabama vs. Arkansas odds, predictions, how to watch and betting preview from Henry John. Everything you need to know about this SEC showdown on Saturday
Henry John
Mon, November 15, 2:54 PM EST

Alabama vs. Arkansas Odds: Tide Given 93.2% Chance to Take Down Arkansas

A pair of ranked SEC West Division rivals are set to square off in Week 12 of the college football season. Fresh off of an overtime win in Death Valley, the Arkansas Razorbacks will travel to Tuscaloosa to face the Alabama Crimson Tide. Saturday afternoon’s matchup is being billed as the best SEC game of the week. Alabama will aim to keep their College Football Playoff hopes alive while Arkansas attempts to win their first head-to-head meeting between the schools since 2006. The college football betting odds heavily favor the home team ahead of this Arkansas vs Alabama battle.

Arkansas vs. Alabama Week 12 College Football Betting Odds, Picks, and Preview

Arkansas Razorbacks (7-3 SU, 5-4-1 ATS) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (9-1 SU, 6-4 ATS)

Date: Saturday, November 20, 2021
Start Time: 3:30 PM EST
Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium — Tuscaloosa, AL
TV Coverage: CBS

Alabama vs. Arkansas odds

Arkansas Razorbacks Preview

Sam Pittman’s Razorbacks have responded well to a three-game losing streak in the middle of the season. Arkansas has now won three straight coming into Saturday’s college football betting matchup. The most recent two have come via narrow three-point margins over two tough SEC opponents. After knocking off a ranked Mississippi State team at home two weeks ago, Arkansas went into Baton Rouge and emerged victorious in a 16-13 overtime win over LSU last week. The fact that they won the game in primetime is especially impressive. Death Valley is known to be one of the most difficult places to play as a visiting team under the lights.

Perhaps the biggest key to Arkansas’ Week 11 victory was a +3 margin in the turnover battle. The Razorbacks were outgained and actually held to less than 300 yards by the improved LSU defense. Timely takeaways by the defense helped bail out an uncharacteristically limited game by the offense. A big play resulted in the Razorbacks’ lone touchdown of the game. Quarterback KJ Jefferson connected with Dominique Johnson on a 43-yard strike midway through the third quarter to erase what was a 10-3 halftime deficit. Both Jefferson and Johnson each had 40+ yards rushing as well. Cam Little hit on all three of his field goal attempts while Myles Slusher and Montaric Brown each came up with an interception.

Alabama Crimson Tide Preview

While Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide technically had to get up for a Week 11 game, it was admittedly a partial bye week. Alabama rolled to a 59-3 blowout of an overmatched New Mexico State team on Saturday. Since suffering their only loss of the season, the Tide have largely put a hurting on all of their opponents. Only LSU gave them a tough game in a six-point win two weeks ago. Excluding the loss to Texas A&M and a two-point win over Florida on the road, all of Alabama’s other games against SEC competition have been decided by three touchdowns or more.

The non-conference game against NMSU certainly helped quarterback Bryce Young bolster his Heisman Trophy case. He finished with five touchdown passes and 270 yards on 21-23 passing. Young likely would’ve had more had he not been pulled for subs down the stretch. After being held to just 18 yards against LSU, star tailback Brian Robinson Jr. got back on track with 99 yards and two scores on just nine carries. Fellow backfield mate Trey Sanders saw plenty of run and also scored a touchdown. Jameson Williams put up a massive receiving line with 158 yards and three scores. Despite the rumblings that this year’s Alabama defense is not as sound as those Saban has had in the past, the Tide still rank second in the SEC in yards allowed per game.

Arkansas vs. Alabama Betting Odds and Line Movement

The following table displays the best Arkansas vs. Alabama college football betting odds and lines available in the market.

Team

Moneyline

ML Implied Probability

Spread

Total

Arkansas

+900

10%

+20.5 (-107)

O 56.5 (-110)

Alabama

-1375

93.2%

-20.5 (-110)

U 56.5 (-109)

Alabama vs. Arkansas odds

The college football betting oddsmakers view Alabama as a massive favorite to win their 15th straight against Arkansas on Saturday. The Crimson Tide are given over a 93% chance to win this SEC matchup. That being said, the point spread has actually moved towards the Razorbacks thus far. After opening lines listed Alabama -22, the spread has been adjusted 1.5 points to the current -20.5. The total has held steady thus far, with 56.5 equalling the opening number.

Arkansas vs. Alabama Betting Picks and Prediction

While this year’s Arkansas team is easily the best squad to come out of Fayetteville in a long while, expecting them to overcome the college football betting odds against a juggernaut like Alabama is still a step too far. Nick Saban’s team has dominated this head-to-head series for over a decade. Even as Sam Pittman started the Arkansas turnaround last year, Alabama still went into Fayetteville and won going away. The Tide have outscored the Hogs 100-10 over the last two seasons and 206-50 going back four years.

Given the performance of both teams this season, the 20.5-point spread seems about right. After struggling to pull away from LSU two weeks ago, something seems to say that Alabama will have the foot on the gas pedal early and often on Saturday. It will be up to the Arkansas defense to keep the Razorbacks in it. Slowing down Bryce Young and Brian Robinson is easier said than done. Add in Alabama’s virtual bye this past week and one could make a case that the Tide will have a rest advantage as well. Look for them to pull away and win convincingly.

Arkansas vs. Alabama Prediction: Alabama -20.5 (-110) and Over 56.5 (-110)

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