Utah vs. Oregon Odds: Ducks Receiving 66% of Bets to Cover the Spread As Short Road Underdogs
Oregon vs. Utah Odds: Ducks Receiving 66% of Bets to Cover the Spread As 3 Point Underdogs
The first of a likely two head-to-head meetings between the Oregon Ducks and Utah Utes is set for this Saturday night in Salt Lake City. Regardless of the outcome in Saturday’s game, both teams sit atop their respective divisions in the Pac-12 Conference. A second showdown for the conference championship is highly probable in just a few weeks’ time. There is plenty on the line this Saturday as well, with the Ducks’ College Football Playoff aspirations looming largest. The college football betting odds have thrown the rankings out the window by naming the home team the favorite ahead of this Oregon vs Utah matchup.
Oregon vs. Utah Week 12 College Football Betting Odds, Picks, and Preview
Oregon Ducks (9-1 SU, 4-6 ATS) vs. Utah Utes (7-3 SU, 4-6 ATS)
Date: Saturday, November 20, 2021Start Time: 7:30 PM ESTLocation: Rice-Eccles Stadium — Salt Lake City, UTTV Coverage: ABC
Oregon Ducks Preview
Although it hasn’t always been stylish or pretty, Oregon has successfully navigated a perfect Pac-12 Conference schedule since losing in overtime to Stanford. Most recently, the Ducks pulled away from Washington State in a 38-24 home win this past weekend. Quarterback Anthony Brown nearly ran for more yards than he passed for on Saturday. Altogether, he accounted for over 250 yards of total offense and two scores. It was a run-heavy game for the Ducks as RBs Travis Dye and Byron Cardwell carved up the WSU defense. The tandem combined for over 170 rushing yards and three total touchdowns. Dye also was the recipient of Brown’s lone TD pass.
Along with playing out that way on the field during conference play, many college football betting analysts tabbed Oregon and Utah as the top two teams in the Pac-12 entering the season. For the Ducks, this Saturday’s showdown sets up as a huge opportunity to legitimize their College Football Playoff standing. Aside from beating Ohio State, Mario Cristobal’s program has failed to notch a second signature win this season. Knocking off Utah in a true road game would be about as good as it gets. The defense will need to play better football than it did this past week though. Star pass rusher Kayvon Thibodeaux continued to build his resume with a pair of sacks. Oregon also forced three Washington State turnovers. The main question is whether the secondary can hold up against Utah’s rejuvenated passing attack.
Utah Utes Preview
After starting out the year 1-2 with disappointing losses back-to-back at BYU and San Diego State, Kyle Whittingham’s Utes have gone on to win six of seven and take a stranglehold on the Pac-12 South Division. Utah enters Saturday one game clear of Arizona State and with the head-to-head tiebreaker in hand. They are all but guaranteed to battle for the conference title in Las Vegas in two weeks’ time. Since taking over under center for former Baylor star Charlie Brewer back in Week 3, sophomore QB Cameron Rising has been phenomenal. He sparkled again with nearly 300 yards passing and two touchdown strikes to lead the Utes to victory on the road last week over a feisty Arizona team.
Much like Oregon, Utah has leaned heavily on their rushing attack throughout the season. The Utes rank third in the Pac-12 averaging 214 rushing yards per game. TJ Pledger carried the load against Arizona last week, totaling 119 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 25 attempts. Rising also added a rushing score to his line. The Utes’ defense ranks third in the Pac-12 in yards allowed per game and fifth in points. After giving up two first quarter touchdowns to Arizona last week, Utah settled in defensively and held the Wildcats to 15 points the rest of the game. It should also be noted that the Utes have been particularly stout playing at home this season. They enter Saturday’s college football betting matchup with a perfect 4-0 record at Rice-Eccles Stadium. The Utes’ average margin of victory in those four home games is 17 points.
Utah vs. Oregon Betting Odds and Line Movement
The following table displays the best Oregon vs Utah college football betting odds and lines available in the market.
|Team||Moneyline||ML Implied Probability||Spread||Total|
|Oregon||+135||42.6%||+3 (-110)||O 58.5 (-110)|
|Utah||-143||58.8%||-3 (-105)||U 58.5 (-105)|
Limited line movement has taken place thus far for this college football betting matchup. The three-point spread which somewhat surprisingly favors Utah remains the same as the opening line. Sure enough, the majority of public bettors are backing Oregon as a short road underdog. 66% of spread bets like the Ducks catching points. Knowing that the public typically backs any and all higher-ranked teams that are listed as betting underdogs, this is no surprise.
The consensus over/under of 58.5 for this Pac-12 showdown also mirrors the opening total set by the oddsmakers. However, money on the over has started driving the number up just a bit. A handful of Las Vegas shops had shifted the number to 59 at the time of writing. Implied probability from the moneyline odds suggests that Utah has nearly a 59% chance to “upset” Oregon and the playoff picture in the process.
Oregon vs. Utah Betting Picks and Prediction
Anytime that a lower-ranked or non-ranked team is favored against a higher-ranked opponent, bettors must pay extra careful mind to what might be behind the line. In this case, with Oregon being front and center in the College Football Playoff discussions, the three-point spread in Utah’s favor is perhaps even more telling. It’s no surprise that the Ducks are a public dog. This only makes a play on Oregon less appealing.
In many ways, both the Ducks and Utes are a lot of like when it comes to style of play. Both teams would be more than happy to run the ball early and often on Saturday night. However, that figures to be easier said than done against each side’s stout defensive front. Both teams enter Saturday’s college football betting matchup allowing less than 24 points per game defensively. Expect a hard-hitting, defensive-minded Pac-12 battle on Saturday. When it comes to offensive versatility, Utah has displayed more of it with Cameron Rising at quarterback. This along with a raucous home atmosphere makes the Utes an interesting ATS pick as well. After all, taking a contrarian favorite is never a bad move when it comes to sports betting.
Henry has had a passion for sports that few can match for as long as he can remember. What started out as a five-year-old taking interest in the New York Jets and their green jerseys has since become a full-fledged career as a writer and sports betting analyst. His coverage primarily includes the NFL, MLB, NBA, NASCAR, college football, and college basketball. In 2020, he ranked among the top-10 most accurate experts ATS in the BettingPros NFL season contest. You can follow Henry’s sports work on Twitter and other social media platforms @HankTimeSports.