Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview, Week 1 Odds & Schedule
- Philadelphia Eagles Win Total
- Philadelphia Eagles Division Odds
- Philadelphia Eagles Super Bowl Odds
- Philadelphia Eagles Schedule
For the lack of a better expression, the Philadelphia Eagles' 2020-21 NFL season was a hot mess inside a dumpster fire inside a train wreck. It was an entirely forgettable season, from claims of Carson Wentz being a petulant, arrogant semi-diva to Doug Pederson's stubbornness and the team's complete and total collapse. No words can describe just how disappointing the Eagles as a whole were. And yet, one instance did sum up perfectly the prevalent mood in the 'City of Brotherly Love"; that was during a Fox broadcast of one of the early Philadelphia games in an eerily empty Lincoln Financial Field stadium when, all of a sudden, fake boos began raining down on Carson Wentz after he threw two interceptions. If nothing else, to suffer the ignominy of being digitally booed marked a new nadir for Wentz and the Eagles. The cracks started to show. Soon after that, the finger-pointing began, Wentz demanded a trade, Pederson got the sack, and wholesale changes proved to be the only order of the day.
Eagles 2021 Offseason Moves
Re-signings: C Jason Kelce (one year, $9 million), RB Boston Scott (one year, $1 million), LB Alex Singleton (one year, $850,000), EDGE Brandon Graham (two years, $20 million), S Rodney McCloud (two years, $8.7 million)
Free Agent Losses: S Jalen Mills (to Patriots), LB Duke Riley (to Dolphins)
Notable Free Agent Signings: S Anthony Harris (one year, $4 million), LB Eric Wilson (one year, $2.75 million), LB Ryan Kerrigan (one year, $2.5 million), CB Steven Nelson (one year, $3 million)
Notable Draft Picks: WR DeVonta Smith, C Landon Dickerson, DT Milton Williams, RB Kenneth Gainwell
So, it's the dawn of a new era for the Philadelphia Eagles in 2021. Nick Sirianni is the new head coach, Jalen Hurts the presumptive starting quarterback, and the locker room boasts several new faces. None of this, though, raises Philadelphia's stock in the markets at all. Whether it's the Eagles odds in general or Eagles Super Bowl odds specifically, they're the quintessential longshot bet across the board.
Philadelphia has the worst odds in the NFC East to clinch the division, and they've got the fifth-longest odds in SBLVI betting after the Texans, Lions, Jets, and Jaguars (joint fourth-longest) and Bengals. This negative outlook, which permeates throughout the betting, is no guarantee the market has it right. Sometimes, books do get it wrong. For instance, few would have predicted the Washington Football Team would win the NFC East title last season. Yet, they were in precisely the same position that the Philadelphia Eagles find themselves in today, written off as the least likely to challenge for the divisional title.
And yet, there's a difference between the 2020 Football Team and the 2021 Eagles that underscores the odds this time around. Granted, it's merely an impression of the Eagles taking an experimental approach to 2021, but it's backed by the fact that they've hired a rookie head coach and refusing to name Jalen Hurts as the starter for the season. (At the time of writing, it's only presumed he's the starter.) Additionally, the fact the Eagles have a stockpile of picks for the 2022 NFL draft, including two first-round picks, only strengthens this notion that everything about 2021 is a trial. Sirianni is on trial. Hurts is on trial. Everyone is on trial. And if that is the case, it begs the question: how invested will the Eagles truly be in the 2021 NFL season?
Philadelphia Eagles Super Bowl Odds and Other Futures Markets 2021
- Odds to win Super Bowl: +10000
- To win NFC: +5000
- To win NFC East: +525
- To Make Playoffs: Yes +280/ No -350
- Season Win Total: 6.5 OVER (-140)/UNDER (+120)
Philadelphia Eagles Super Bowl Odds
Sizing up Philadelphia Eagles Super Bowl Odds in one word: hallucinatory. Put it another way, color the world shocked if the Eagles get anywhere near Super Bowl 56, never mind winning it. With long odds of +10000 to win SBLVI and, equally, long odds of +525 to win the NFC East are tempting; there should be given a heavy pass nevertheless. It's impossible to buy into the Eagles right now when it's still not clear what they're selling. This doesn't mean that the Eagles are automatically going to be terrible. Perhaps, they'll surprise. However, they'll have a much better chance of doing that at the divisional level than anywhere else.
|Super Bowl Odds||Implied Probability|
Philadelphia Eagles NFC East Odds
The Philadelphia Eagles prop up the NFC East with odds of +525. According to bookmakers, as the fourth-best bet to win the division, they're the least likely to clinch the title. And yet, as far as odds go, they're not priced out of the market either to be a bit beyond the realm of reasonability. This market outlook is a function of several factors, one of which is the complete unpredictability of the entire NFC East.
Last season was a perfect case study of just how frustrating and contrary the division is. Not to mention, it highlighted the conspicuous absence of a truly dominant team as all four teams finished below .500.
Books place the Dallas Cowboys, for the time being, in the role of the so-called 'team to beat, but with odds at +150, they're not exactly runaway faves. That's likely down to the question marks that hang over Dak Prescott, who is coming off an ankle injury and, if that wasn't enough, just injured his shoulder during the Cowboys' preseason practice sessions. The Washington Football Team, in the meanwhile, are the reigning champions. Perhaps, they should be the best bet in the division given the fantastic defense Ron Rivera has assembled in the nation's capital, but they're not far off at +260. You could say they're nipping at Dallas' heels. Finally, the New York Giants come in as the third-best bet at +450, but the jury is out mainly on Daniel Jones. He's playing on borrowed time in the eyes of many and inspiring little confidence in the Big Blue.
If the NFC East is anywhere close to showing the kind of unpredictability and uncertainty it demonstrated last season, the field would be wide open again. At which point, the Eagles could well fancy their chances.
|Team||NFC East Odds||Implied Probability|
|Washington Football Team||+260||27.8%|
|New York Giants||+450||18.2%|
Philadelphia Eagles Win Total
Much of Philadelphia's 2021 campaign will rest on the play of presumptive starter Jalen Hurts. Last season, Pederson finally caved in to the pressure and started Hurts in four games. However, those starts came at the tail-end of the season as the Eagles were sinking faster than the Titanic. By the stats, Hurts didn't exactly impress either: he went 1-3 SU for a completion percentage of 51.9, He totted up 297.8 yards, had a 5:3 touchdown to interception ratio, and a passer rating of 77.2.
Hurts found himself in an impossible situation as a rookie, and it's fair to say he wasn't given the best chance to succeed. His coach was fast losing the front office's confidence; the team was banged up, demoralized, and disgruntled; fans were airing their frustration on social media, and broadcasters were pumping fake boos into the live stream.
Whether Hurts gets a fair shot this season remains to be seen. However, as things currently stand and based on his production last season, the Eagles are projected to 6.5 wins.
Philadelphia Eagles Team Schedule & Odds
According to Strength of Schedule rankings, the Eagles Schedule is the easiest in the league based on last season's opponent win-loss percentages. Bearing in mind, the NFC East finished with all four teams going under .500, it's safe to assume that those losing records have certainly skewed the numbers to give a false impression potentially.
In any event, it's not the most daunting NFL schedule in terms of matchups outside of the division. Just three games feature last season's playoff contenders: Kansas City Chiefs, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and New Orleans Saints. (This doesn't include the two games against Washington Football Team, who also made the playoffs last season.) However, it's a front-loaded schedule, with five out of the first eight games on the road and a late-week 14 bye before things start to ease up down the stretch. So, on paper, the Eagles have a theoretical shot at making some noise in 2021. The question is, though: are you going to bet on it?
|2||vs San Francisco||+4.5||46.5|
|4||vs Kansas City||OTB||OTB|
|6||vs Tampa Bay||OTB||OTB|
|7||@ Las Vegas||OTB||OTB|
|9||vs. LA Chargers||OTB||OTB|
|11||vs New Orleans||OTB||OTB|
|12||@ New York Giants||OTB||OTB|
|13||@ New York Jets||OTB||OTB|
|16||vs New York Giants||OTB||OTB|
2020 Philadelphia Eagles Betting Stats
Record ATS: 6-10
Over/under record: 7-9