NFL Week 1 Odds: Betting Odds for Every Week 1 Game
NFL Week 1 Odds: Betting Odds for Every Week 1 Game
With the release of the 2022-23 NFL schedule, we now know what opening weekend looks like for each team. With that being said, let’s analyze the odds for each matchup.
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Bills at Rams (Rams -1)
This has potential to be the best opening week game. Two juggernauts, one being the former Super Bowl Champions, head to head to open the NFL season is going to be a thriller. Reigning Super Bowl Champions are historically solid in week ones and even solid against the spread. The Rams will be entering the season as their second season with this elite squad led by Matthew Stafford. The Rams are likely the safe bet.
Saints at Falcons (Saints -3.5)
The Saints began last season 5-2 with a healthy Jameis Winston running the show. The Falcons traded away Matt Ryan and all signs point towards Marcus Mariota starting the season as the starting quarterback. With the Saints owning the advantage on offense, they’ll likely beat the Falcons with a sizable margin.
Browns at Panthers (Browns -4.5)
There’s plenty of questions around the Browns and the status of their quarterbacks. Will Deshaun Watson be available? Suspended? There’s no sure answer to that question, and no sure starter because of it. Jacoby Brissett could likely start, assuming Baker Mayfield is gone. The Panthers, though, didn’t make any huge improvements that should put them over the top. It may be a close matchup, but the Browns should cover just fine.
49ers at Bears (49ers -6)
Similar to the Browns, the 49ers are having a bit of a roster mess. The QB situation isn’t clear as it seemed as if Jimmy Garoppolo was going to be traded, but he hasn’t been yet. Despite the unclearness, the 49ers are usually a solid squad despite any changes made, so you can expect they’ll cover the spread.
Broncos as Seahawks (Broncos -3.5)
Not much more needs to be said than a new and improved Broncos team will look to make some noise in their first game. Also, Russell Wilson will likely put up a big game against his former team. The Broncos seem like an easy pick at -3.5.
Buccaneers at Cowboys (Buccaneers -3)
The Tom Brady discourse went on throughout the offseason, but now we know for sure that Brady is back. But, that shouldn’t make much of a difference. The Cowboys had a solid defense last season, and the Buccaneers weren’t incredibly impressive on the road. I like the Cowboys against the spread.
Packers at Vikings (Packers -1.5)
This game feels like we’re betting on Aaron Rodgers' arm talent. The back-to-back MVP has been solid in week one games, but lost last year's week one matchup against the Saints. I don’t suspect Rodgers will let this game slide even if it’s close, despite not having Davante Adams. So expect a big game from Rodger’s and a cover from the Packers.
Giants at Titans (Titans -6.5)
An offense that is run through Derrick Henry obviously requires Henry to be healthy, so assuming that he starts the season at 100%, it feels like the Titans will run through the Giants with ease. The Giants were the worst team when it comes to run defense last season, so a run-centric offense will thrive.
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Jaguars at Commanders (Commanders -4.5)
The Jaguars’ have the former number one overall pick and a brand new head coach in hopes to turn around what was an otherwise disappointing season. The Commanders made a trade for Carson Wentz, who lost to the Jaguars last season in a win and get in game in week 18 last season. The Jaguars have a good chance to win against the spread.
Chiefs at Cardinals (Chiefs -3)
The Chiefs, and Patrick Mahomes in particular, struggled last season early on, but I don’t expect that to happen again this season. While the Chiefs didn’t have the best offseason and lost their WR1 to Miami, Mahomes is enough to wheel the Chiefs past the Cardinals to win and cover the spread.
Raiders at Chargers (Chargers -4)
Both teams in the same, stacked division made changes to rapidly improve their rosters this offseason. The Chargers improved an already defense and are known to make explosive plays on the offensive end. If the Chargers protect Justin Herbert, their defense is solid enough to make plenty of stops to help the Chargers cover this game.
Patriots at Dolphins (Dolphins -3)
Miami has done a good job getting talent around Tua Tagovailoa, especially with the acquisition of Tyreek Hill. Tua has plenty of speedy weapons that will help improve his stats with plenty of RAC yardage. Even if Mac Jones has a breakout game to begin year two, Miami’s speedy offense will prove too much for the weakened Patriots defense.
Ravens at Jets (Ravens -4)
While the Jets had a really, really solid offseason, and draft especially, the Ravens have too many strengths where the Jets have holes. And even where the Jets are solid, it seems the Ravens have them one up. The QB battle will likely go to Lamar Jackson over Zach Wilson. The Ravens have also had a chance to get healthy, which will make them look much better than last year, despite losing Hollywood Brown.
Colts at Texans (Colts -7.5)
Last season, the Colts were a near playoff team. In fact, just one ugly, disappointing loss away. They have since had a QB change, bringing in Matt Ryan, while having weapons such as Jonothan Taylor healthy and ready to make some noise. The Texans are on the other end of the metric, as they’ll likely miss the playoffs again.
Steelers at Bengals (Bengals -6)
The reigning Super Bowl Runner Up’s usually struggle in their first game back since the big game, but I don’t suspect that will be the case this time. The Bengals are a young team that made a great playoff run, and also filled in their biggest hole in the offseason. The young guys will take another jump, the holes are filled, and I expect the Steelers to take their first loss of the post-Big Ben era.
Eagles at Lions (Eagles -3)
The Lions rounded out their roster this season, and gave Jared Goff a go-to weapon in Jameson Williams, but the Eagles also made big additions such as AJ Brown. Brown and Devonta Smith will provide two big weapons for Jalen Hurts. While the Lions will likely make life hard for the Eagles, the Eagles should be able to cover just fine.