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2021 CJ Cup Odds: Dustin Johnson and Jordan Spieth Among Betting Favorites in Loaded Field

For just the second time, The Summit Club in Las Vegas will play host to the CJ Cup. Here’s the latest betting news.
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2021 CJ Cup Odds: Dustin Johnson and Jordan Spieth Among Betting Favorites in Loaded Field

This week, the CJ Cup returns, with a 78-man field assembling in Vegas once again. An event usually held in South Korea, it is Vegas that has taken over hosting duties during COVID. Despite remaining in Vegas, the players will face a new test as they head to Tom Fazio-designed, The Summit. Fazio was responsible for last year’s venue, Shadow Creek but this should be a slightly different proposition.

Of the 78 players in the field this week, 60 of them are winners on the PGA Tour. Three of the top-five in the world, Dustin Johnson (2), Collin Morikawa (3), and Xander Schauffele (5) headline a strong field in the desert, and with all three making their first starts since emerging victorious at the Ryder Cup, they will be well-rested and full of confidence.

CJ Cup Odds

Dustin Johnson+1200
Justin Thomas+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Collin Morikawa+1800
Jordan Spieth+2200
Rory McIlroy+2200
Sam Burns+2800
Tony Finau+2800
Victor Hovland+2800
Brooks Koepka+3000

Click here to see the full CJ Cup odds list

CJ Cup: Course Guide and Breakdown

Course: The Summit Club, Las Vegas, Nevada

Designer: Tom Fazio

Par: 72

Length: 7,431 Yards

Greens: Bentgrass

A recently-opened (2017) resort course, which never planned or expected to host a PGA Tour event, there is not much in the way of defense at this Fazio layout. There are several water features and there’s always a threat of “Vegas winds,” but the scoring should be low.

A score of -20 won the event last year, and with The Summit seemingly more generous off the tee, we can expect similar, if not deeper this week. In terms of surroundings, there is an unobscured view of the Vegas strip from the sixth tee and the backdrops look typical of a desert event, but with lush fairways on the property, there is a somewhat parkland feel here like there was at Shadow Creek 12 months ago.

There is very little information at this stage about this course, but Collin Morikawa is a member at The Summit and holds the course record with a 62.

CJ Cup: How to Watch

Television: Thursday-Sunday, 5 p.m.-8 p.m. ET (Golf Channel).

PGA Tour Live: Thursday-Friday, 10:15 a.m.-8 p.m. (Featured Groups).

CJ Cup: Qualifying Criteria

Top-60 in last year’s FedEx Cup

Sponsor’s Exemptions:

  • Five players from the KPGA
  • Top three Koreans in the OWGR

Field is set at 78 - No Monday Qualifiers

Last Year's CJ Cup Result

Jason Kokrak closed with his best round of the week (64) last year, holding off Xander Schauffele to secure his first PGA Tour victory. Xander gave Kokrak everything early, opening with birdies on three of his first five holes, but Kokrak responded by making birdies on five of his first eight and he also birdied the last to put emphasis on his victory.

CJ Cup Favorites

Dustin Johnson - The highest-ranked player in the field, Johnson will look to get back in the winners’ circle, and he has a great record in small fields. A six-time WGC winner, six-time FedEx Cup playoff victor with two wins at the Tournament of Champions, these events are right in his wheelhouse. Three top-10’s in his last four starts and one half of the best duo at the Ryder Cup, Johnson should be in good spirits. He is making his event debut, after missing last year due to COVID.

Collin Morikawa - The other half of the dynamic duo at the Ryder Cup, Morikawa will sit alongside his Ryder Cup partner on the odds board. With his course record (62) public knowledge and his injury worries behind him, the best iron player in the world should thrive in a “home event”.

Xander Schauffele - Like Johnson, Schauffele thrives in short-field events, with three of his four wins coming in this style. If you include the Olympics, it’s four of five, and he’s going to like his chances of going one better than last year in this event. Runner-up finishes at this event 12 months ago and at the Phoenix Open suggests he likes desert settings.

Justin Thomas - Two-time winner of this event in four renewals, albeit both times in Korea, Thomas loves the CJ Cup. Whether that’s due to a particular liking for the course at Jeju Island remains to be seen, but he did finish T12 at Shadow Creek. T4 at both the Northern Trust and in the 72-hole Tour Championship leaderboard, Thomas is in fine form, despite a cold putter. If his play on the greens improves, he will be a factor.

CJ Cup Correlating Courses and Events

World Golf Championships and Tournament of Champions -- this is simple. All stroke-play WGC’s, and the Tournament of Champions are limited-field events with no cut, the same format that we will see at the CJ Cup this week. Some players excel in events where they know they’ll be playing come Sunday.

Waste Management Phoenix Open - TPC Scottsdale is based in the desert and is at elevation, which is the case here. While the courses may not be similar, it’s worth checking out who likes this style of course and surroundings. 2020 CJ Cup runner-up Xander Schauffele was also second in Phoenix in the same year. Bubba Watson, who was T7 at Shadow Creek, has all but won there, and Harris English (10th last year) was third in Phoenix back in 2016.

Shriners Children Open - An event in close proximity to this one, with a lot of similarities. It may help to have had a weekend of making bogeys and a short trip over to The Summit this week, rather than coming in cold, although that was not necessarily the case last year.

The American Express - Defending Champion Jason Kokrak has two top-eight finishes in what is now known as the American Express. Talor Gooch, who was fifth here, also finished fourth there and remains his best chance yet of winning on the PGA Tour.

Shadow Creek - The host of this event 12 months ago, it won’t be too dissimilar of a test this week. With more trees planted at Shadow Creek, The Summit should be easier to navigate off the tee, but a large part of what was required will also be needed here. Check out the leaderboard for this event 12 months ago, and don’t be surprised to see some similar names pop up.

Texas Golf - Whether it be the Valero Texas Open, Charles Schwab Challenge, the Byron Nelson, or most commonly, the Houston Open, these events seem to feature heavily on the CV of those in the top-10 of last year’s renewal.

Defending champion Jason Kokrak won the Charles Schwab this year to double his PGA Tour tally, adding to a T3 finish in that same event in 2020 and a fourth-place finish at the Byron Nelson in 2017. Runner-up Xander Schauffele finished T3 at the Charles Schwab last year, while Tyrrell Hatton, who finished third, also had a T8 there. Russell Henley, who tied for third with Hatton last year, has an impressive form line in Houston, with a win and four more top-8’s, while Joaquin Niemann, who was sixth last year, also possesses two top-8 finishes in Texas.

Given the quality of those players, maybe it’s better to focus your attention on the more surprising names at the top of the leaderboard. Gooch finished fifth in this event last year, and his record in Texas shows two fourth-place finishes in Houston and a T14 at the Charles Schwab. Lanto Griffin (T7 last year) won the 2019 Houston Open, while Sebastian Munoz, who finished ninth at the 2020 CJ Cup, finished T3 at the Charles Schwab this year and T9 at the Valero Texas Open. In short, those that like Texas seemed to like this event last year. It will be interesting to see if the new course yields similar results.

CJ Cup Key Stats

SG Approach - While we don’t know a lot about this venue, hot irons will be key to making the amount of birdies required. With the greens larger here than they are at Shadow Creek and TPC Summerlin, finding greens won’t be enough, you’ll need to get close to the hole.

Bentgrass Putting - Like most birdie-fests, you’re going to have to putt well, and Bentgrass is the surface here. There have been occasions where people win without a hot putter (Sam Burns at the Sanderson Farms), but you don’t want to rely on that.

Birdie or Better - You are going to need players with scoring upside. A score of -20 is probably the target number, so around 25 birdies or better should be expected for the winner, to allow for some bogeys.

Par-5 Scoring – You will have to take advantage of the scoring holes here at The Summit and they do not all look straightforward, so those that navigate them the best will likely be at the top of the leaderboard.

CJ Cup Incoming Form (Last 8 weeks)

Top-10 for adjusted score average and their results.

  • Justin Thomas – 4-22-4
  • Sungjae Im – 16-3-23-31-1
  • Dustin Johnson – MC-6-8
  • Sam Burns – 21-8-17-1-14
  • March Leishman – 47-51-4-3
  • Rory McIlroy – 43-4-14
  • Justin Rose – 6
  • Xander Schauffele – 14-49-3
  • Aaron Wise – 21-17-26-8
  • Harold Varner III – 11-12-16-11
  • Max Homa – 47-63-1

CJ Cup Event Form

*This is the first CJ Cup at this course and just the second in five renewals to be held in Vegas, so be careful with the event form.

Top-10 for adjusted score average in this event.

  • Talor Gooch – 5 (2020 debut)
  • Russell Henley – 33-5
  • Tyrrell Hatton – 14-6-3
  • Jason Kokrak – 67-1
  • Patrick Reed – 11 (2017)
  • Sebastian Munoz – 9 (2020 debut)
  • Cameron Smith - 3-7-3-11
  • Justin Thomas – 1-36-1-12
  • Harris English – 10 (2020 debut)
  • Jason Day – 11-5-31-WD
  • Xander Schauffele – 72-48-2

CJ Cup Early Picks

These are the early leans -- but check back for more content throughout the week as we learn more about the course and more odds become available. Rick Gehman will be walking the course on Tuesday, so be sure to check out his thoughts this week.

Collin Morikawa – The course record holder and best iron player in the world is coming off the back of a bright Ryder Cup debut where he importantly proved his fitness. Don’t overthink this one, bet him despite short odds.

Russell Henley - Henley led the field in SG Approach at the Shriners and ranked 6th in that area three starts ago also. When striking the ball well, we know he can be a significant factor, and as a former winner on a Fazio course (2014 Honda Classic) and a superb performer in Houston, I can see another good week. He was 3rd in this last year and 4th at the ZOZO the following week, so when it clicks he can keep it going. He’d finished T27 at the Shriners last year before playing well in this event, so his T21 this past weekend might be better than it appears.

Marc Leishman - Finding form before the year is out, Leishman normally puts himself in the mix for a victory at least once a season. Already T4 at the Fortinet and T3 at the Shriners, Leishman is looking to get that victory early. The Australian has been hitting the ball nicely over the past couple of months and he now comes to another event that should suit. A runner-up in this event in the past (in Korea in 2017) and a runner-up in Texas in the past, Leishman ticks multiple boxes.

Aaron Wise - A winner in Texas, and a good record on another Fazio design (Win and T8 finish at Wells Fargo) this former Rookie of the Year is in great form and he can keep that rolling.

Talor Gooch - 5th in this event last year and T12 at the Shriners where he opened with a 64 and closed with a 66, Gooch looks in good shape. T4 and T12 to start the season he is playing well and clearly likes this sort of setup, proved by a 4th at the Desert Classic and two more 4th place finishes in Houston. Another top-13 finish on a Fazio design (Wells Fargo) suggests he likes the way Fazio routes his golf courses. Gooch ranked 5th in SG Approach last week and ranks 9th overall over the past 8 weeks.

CJ Cup Full Field

  • Byeong Hun An
  • Abraham Ancer
  • Keegan Bradley
  • Sam Burns
  • Paul Casey
  • Stewart Cink
  • Cam Davis
  • Jason Day
  • Harris English
  • Tony Finau
  • Tommy Fleetwood
  • Rickie Fowler
  • Sergio Garcia
  • Lucas Glover
  • Talor Gooch
  • Branden Grace
  • Emiliano Grillo
  • Brian Harman
  • Tyrrell Hatton
  • Russell Henley
  • Harry Higgs
  • Charley Hoffman
  • Tom Hoge
  • Rasmus Hojgaard
  • Max Homa
  • Viktor Hovland
  • Mackenzie Hughes
  • Sungjae Im
  • Dustin Johnson
  • Matt Jones
  • Sung Kang
  • Hanbyeol Kim
  • Joohyung Kim
  • Minkyu Kim
  • Seonghyeon Kim
  • Si Woo Kim
  • Chris Kirk
  • Kevin Kisner
  • Patton Kizzire
  • Brooks Koepka
  • Jason Kokrak
  • Jaekyeong Lee
  • K.H. Lee
  • Marc Leishman
  • Shane Lowry
  • Hideki Matsuyama
  • Rory McIlroy
  • Maverick McNealy
  • Keith Mitchell
  • Collin Morikawa
  • Sebastián Muñoz
  • Kevin Na
  • Joaquin Niemann
  • Alex Noren
  • Louis Oosthuizen
  • Carlos Ortiz
  • Ian Poulter
  • Patrick Reed
  • Justin Rose
  • Xander Schauffele
  • Scottie Scheffler
  • Charl Schwartzel
  • Adam Scott
  • Yoseop Seo
  • Sanghun Shin
  • Webb Simpson
  • Cameron Smith
  • Jordan Spieth
  • Robert Streb
  • Kevin Streelman
  • Hudson Swafford
  • Justin Thomas
  • Cameron Tringale
  • Erik van Rooyen
  • Harold Varner III
  • Jhonattan Vegas
  • Aaron Wise
  • Gary Woodland

Tom Jacobs is the host of the Lost Fore Words golf podcast and has been writing betting articles on golf for the past decade. Tom also co-hosts the DP World Tour Picks & Bets show on the Mayo Media Network, so has his finger on the pulse on all the major Tours. A long-suffering Nottingham Forest fan, Tom also enjoys watching Soccer at the weekend, and was delighted to see his Forest team win promotion this season!


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