RSM Classic Odds: Scottie Scheffler, Webb Simpson Lead The Pack

RSM Classic odds, betting preview, course overview and predictions for this weekend's PGA Tour stop. Tom Jacobs breaks down everything you need to know
Tom Jacobs
Mon, November 15, 12:04 PM EST

RSM Classic Odds: Scottie Scheffler, Webb Simpson Lead The Pack

It’s the last PGA Tour event of 2021, as the players stop in Saint Simons Island, Georgia for the RSM Classic. This event has been on the TOUR schedule since 2010 and was set up by the Legendary, Davis Love III.

It has a rich history of crowning maiden winners, with Tommy Gainey, Robert Streb, Kevin Kisner, Mackenzie Hughes, Austin Cook and Tyler Duncan all earning their first victories here, and there’s many in the field that will hope to enjoy the same fate this week.

In 2015 it introduced the Plantation Course, becoming a two-course event. Players will tee it up once on the Plantation course over the first two days, before playing the weekend on the Seaside Course, where they play three rounds in total.

Click here for complete RSM Classic odds

How to watch the RSM Classic

Television: Thursday-Friday, 12 p.m.-3 p.m. ET. Saturday-Sunday, 1 p.m.-4 p.m. (Golf Channel).

Qualifying criteria for the RSM Classic

  • Winner - PGA/U.S. Open Championship
  • Winner - THE PLAYERS Championship
  • Winner - The Open
  • Winner - World Golf Championship Event
  • Winners of the Arnold Palmer, Memorial, Genesis (Last 3 Years)
  • Tournament Winner in Past Two Seasons
  • Career Money Exemption
  • Sponsor’s Exemptions
  • PGA Section Champion\Player of the Year
  • Past Champion of Respective Event
  • Top 125 on Prior Season's FedEx Cup Points List
  • Major Medical Extension
  • Leading Points Winner from Korn Ferry Tour & KFT Finals
  • Three-Time Winner from Korn Ferry Tour
  • Top 50 Finishers from the Korn Ferry Tour Finals (2021)

Last Year's RSM Classic

Robert Streb claimed his second PGA Tour title here last year, at the same site of his maiden victory six years prior. It took extra holes, as he defeated another former winner of this event, Kevin Kisner on the second playoff hole.

Streb led after 36 and 54 holes and played solidly enough on Sunday to ensure Kisner’s Sunday 63 did not trump his efforts all week.

These two contesting the playoff highlighted the history of repeat performances on this golf course, and there’s no reason not to expect the same this week.

The RSM Classic Favorites

Scottie Scheffle (+1400)

Another chance and another disappointment for Scottie Scheffler who had a commanding lead at one point on the back nine this past week in Houston.

I hate the line “best player without a win” but he’s a leading contender for it, if not the leader and yesterday’s round will hurt.

Still, he’s young, super talented and hopefully had a short memory, as he looks to win on a course that’s been kind to maidens in the past.

Scheffler was 5th on his debut two years ago, as a Saturday 63 saw him climb into the top-8 before backing it up with a 68 to make the top-5.

He can go better this week and win his maiden title if he can put Sunday’s disappointment behind him.

Webb Simpson (+1600)

Not many people have better records here than Webb Simpson, and yet he’s done so well here without converting that good form into a victory.

Two 2nd’s a 3rd and a 7th show Simpson loves this track, and both his 2nd places have come to inferior opposition in playoffs, so he can count himself unfortunate.

Three starts into this young season have yielded results of T30-MC-T14 and in that last start at the CJ Cup, he shot weekend rounds of 66-65. With that kind form coming in, and his evident course history, there’s every chance Simpson finally gets that win he richly deserves here.

Harris English (+3000)

Harris English has had a year to remember in 2021, highlighted by two wins and a debut Ryder Cup performance.

Since the Ryder Cup though, English has struggled, missing the cut at the Shriners and withdrawing from the CJ Cup.

The FedEx Cup playoffs weren’t great for him either, finishing T31, T26 (out of 70) and T17 (out of 30).

English, a University of Georgia alum will hope the recent break will do him good as he returns to the RSM Classic where he has four top-27 finishes, including a 6th last year.

Cameron Smith (+2000)

Cameron Smith quietly finished T15 last week, without really featuring at any stage, and that’s a continuation of some good form.

He finished 9th here on debut in 2017, and was inside that number after every round, so it is fair to say he enjoyed his first visit.

This looks like a good course for the Australian and he returns a better player this time around, so it would be no surprise to see this consistent Australian at the top of the leaderboard once again.

Louis Oosthuizen (+2500)

Louis Oosthuizen is still looking for a win on US Soil, despite constantly putting himself in contention in major championships, and he will look to close out a successful 2021 with a victory here.

You have to go back to this event last year for Oosthuizen’s last missed cut, but that’s not a true reflection of Oosthuizen’s suitability here. Last year, this event came the week after the Masters, and with the majors firmly in the rear-view this time around, there’s every chance Oosthuizen repeats something similar to his debut appearance here in 2011.

He finished 4th on his debut in this event, never sitting outside the top-6 at the end of any round, and while that happened when there was just one course hosting the event, and there are now 18 holes at the Plantation Course to consider, Ooosthuizen should still enjoy a good week here.

Given his current form, and his determination to get an overdue win Stateside, Oosthuizen will look to build on his T14 finish at the Shriners and his 65-67 weekend at the CJ Cup.

Joaquin Niemann (+3500)

Joaquin Niemann has been largely unsuccessful here in two visits, getting through to the weekend but finishing outside the top-40 on each occasion, but he is good enough to turn that around.

If the correlations between this event, the Greenbrier, the RBC Heritage and the Sony Open are to be believed, which they really should be given the evidence, Niemann should have the ability to turn it around here. 2nd and 5th place finishes at the Sony and Heritage respectively, and a win at the Greenbrier prove Niemann’s ability on favorable layouts, and a third trip here is likely to produce his best result if nothing else.

Comes into the week off the back of a T5 last time out in Mexico.

RSM Classic odds

The Course(s)

Seaside Course, Sea Island Resort

Length: 7,005 Yards

Par: 70

Greens: Bermuda

Designer: Tom Fazio redesign 1998

Plantation Course, Sea Island Resort

Length: 7,060 Yards

Course Record: 60 (Tommy Gainey, Round 4, 2012)

Par: 72

Greens: Bermuda

Designer: Rees Jones (Davis Love III redesign 2018)

RSM Classic Correlating Courses & Events + Ties

St Jude Classic (TPC Southwind)

Ben Crane won St Jude and won here.

Heath Slocum finished 4th and 6th at St Jude and won here.

Brian Gay has won the St.Jude and finished 3rd here.

Webb Simpson has been runner at the WGC at TPC Southwind, and has two 2nd’s, a 3rd and a 7th here.

Charles Schwab Challenge (Colonial)

Kevin Kisner has a win at Colonial (2017 Dean & Deluca) and a win here.

Chris Kirk has a win and a top-5 at Colonial and won here.

Tommy Gained has a 3rd at Colonial and won here.

Heritage (Harbour Town)

Kevin Kisner has lost in a playoff at the Heritage and won here.

Chris Kirk has a top-7 at the Heritage and won here.

Tommy Gainey has a 3rd at Heritage and won here.

Webb Simpson has a win and a 2nd at the Heritage, and two 2nd’s, a 3rd and a 7th here.

Heath Slocum has a8th and 12th place finishes at the Heritage and a win here.

Honda Classic (PGA National)

Mackenzie Hughes finished 2nd in the 2020 Honda Classic and won here in 2016.

Camilo Villegas won the 2010 Honda Classic and lost in a playoff there in 2007, before losing in a playoff here to Hughes in 2016.

Sony Open

There has been a lot of crossover at Colonial and TPC Southwind as mentioned above, so it is also worth looking at the Sony Open, another short par 70 on Bermuda.

Chris Kirk has a win here and finished 2nd at the Sony this year.

Charles Howell III has a win here and two runner-up finishes in the Sony.

Webb Simpson loves it here and finished 3rd at the Sony in 2020.

David Toms finished 2nd here in 2012 and has won the Sony.

Henrik Norlander has 2nd and 5th place finishes here and finished T9 at the Sony in 2020.

Greenbrier

No longer an event, you will have to go back to 2019 for the last renewal of this event, but from 2010-2019 there’s some history that could give us some clues here.

Bill Haas, Kevin Kisner and Robert Streb who are all winners here, all finished runner-up at the Greenbrier Classic.

Austin Cook had a T5 finish at the Greenbrier and a win here.

Beyond that, there doesn’t seem to be as much direct crossover between these two events, but there are a lot of players that have had success at the Greenbrier, who played well at the correlating course above, so it wouldn’t hurt to glance at this event in addition.

RSM Classic Local Ties

While no Sea Island resident has won here, plenty with ties to Georgia and the nearby Southern states have excelled here. Check out the list below to see how the winners tie in based on geography.

Tyler Duncan won here in 2019 and while he was born and educated in Indiana, he resides in neighboring, Florida.

Charles Howell III won here in 2018 and is from Augusta, Georgia.

Austin Cook won here in 2018 and while not from a neighbouring state, is from the Southern state of Arkansas, where he also went to college.

Mackenzie Hughes won here in 2016 is Canadian but resides in Carolina.

Kevin Kisner won here in 2015 and is a University of Georgia alum. He was born and still resides in neighboring South Carolina.

Chris Kirk won here in 2013, graduated from the University of Georgia and lives in Athens, Georgia. He was also quoted saying he’d played the course 100 times before winning. He was also born in neighboring Tennessee.

Tommy Gainey won here in 2012 and was born, educated and now resides in Carolina, a neighboring state.

Heath Slocum, the first winner of this event in 2010 lives in Georgia and went to University in neighbouring Alabama.

RSM Classic Key Stats

SG Approach

Approaches from 125-150

Approaches from 150-175

SG Putting (Bermuda)

RSM Classic odds

Incoming Form (Last 8 weeks)

Top-10 for adjusted scoring average over the past eight weeks.

  • Danny Lee – 2-7
  • Scottie Scheffler – MC-38-4-2
  • Cameron Smith – 9-15
  • Cameron Young – 2-MC
  • Russell Henley – 21-25-56-7
  • Louis Oosthuizen – 14-38
  • Joel Dahmen – 51-24-45-5
  • Webb Simpson – MC-14
  • Alex Smalley – 31-47-12-15
  • Luke List – 17-MC-7-MC-11

Course Form (11 Years)

Top-10 for adjusted scoring average over the eleven years of this event.

  • Scottie Scheffler - 5 (20219)
  • Webb Simpson - 12-2-7-41-36-WD-3-2-37
  • Keegan Bradley - 15 (2020)
  • Kevin Kisner - 26-MC-20-4-1-MC-4-7-MC-
  • Matthew NeSmith - 14-15
  • Alex Noren - 10-18
  • Corey Conners - 37-23-10
  • Emiliano Grillo – 18
  • Austin Cook - 1-11-61-MC
  • C.T. Pan - 6-13-MC-MC

RSM Classic Past Champions (All 11 Years)

  • 2020 - Robert Streb
  • 2019 - Tyler Duncan
  • 2018 - Charles Howell III
  • 2017 - Austin Cook
  • 2016 - Mackenzie Hughes
  • 2015 - Kevin Kisner
  • 2014 - Robert Streb
  • 2013 - Chris Kirk
  • 2012 - Tommy Gainey
  • 2011 - Ben Crane
  • 2010 - Heath Slocum

RSM Classic Early Leans

Russell Henley (+3300)

Russell Henley is hitting his irons superbly and has been for a long time now, but his last three starts have seen him rank 1st, 2nd and 19th in that department.

There is no doubt he will need to putt better than he has been, but I will chance he does that, given his local ties and form at correlating courses.

Henley has three wins on the PGA Tour and two have come at the Sony Open and Honda Classic, both correlating courses and one of his Korn Ferry victories came in Georgia as well.

He also has multiple top-10’s at the Heritage, two top-5’s at the Greenbrier and a T7 at the St. Jude, so it’s fairly easy to identify where he plays well. It should be no surprise then that he has 4th, 6th and 10th place finishes here, with the latter two coming since the split to two courses.

Henley is hitting the ball better than almost everyone in this field and if he finds a putting stroke in an event fairly close to his Carolina home, he’s going to contend. Henley was 7th last week and he ranked 12th in SG Putting despite missing some key short putts, so chances are he can go well again this week.

Luke List (+9000)

Luke List has been in pretty stellar form, at least by his standards since May. In that time he has a T6 at the Wells Fargo, T4 at the John Deere, T4 at the Barbasol and has continued in the same fashion to start the new season.

List has played six events to start the 2021/22 season and has a T17 at the Sanderson, T7 at the ZOZO and a T11 finish at Houston, which for large parts of the week promised to be better.

His best-ever finish was a playoff loss to Justin Thomas at the Honda Classic and he also finished T3 at the Heritage in 2018, missing out on the playoff by one. His first of two Korn Ferry victories came in Georgia, where he went to University and he has two top-10’s at Bay Hill where the wind gets up.

Given his correlating and current form, his local ties and finishes of 13th and 4th at the course, I am willing to chance that we see another breakthrough victory from someone else who is way overdue.

Jason Kokrak sealed his third win since 2020 last week in Houston, and he serves as a reminder that patience with talented players is generally rewarded, and given they are the same age, we could see List get his win soon. 

Patrick Rodgers (+9000)

Patrick Rodgers has started this season in fine fashion, with 4th and 6th place finishes at the Fortinet and Bermuda Championships and he will look to bounce back from a missed cut in Mexico with a strong performance here.

Rodgers lost in a playoff here in 2018 to Charles Howell III, when it looked like his final round 62 was going to be enough to secure his first PGA Tour victory.

That was his second top-10 on this course, after finishing 10th two years prior.

Good course and current form makes Rodgers a worthy play.

Danny Lee (+8000)

If Danny Lee is back, as his recent form of 2nd and 7th clearly suggests, then we are looking at a very talented player, on a course that should suit.

Lee won the Greenbrier in 2015, which potentially ties in here, and his 6th place finish at Colonial gives further support.

Good finishes recently on short, coastal tracks in Bermuda and Mexico do no harm and it will now be interesting to see if he can carry his form over on these Bermuda greens. At a decent price I will chance he does just that.

Tyler Duncan (+13000)

Aside from his victory here in 2019, Duncan’s top-5 and top-10 rate is pretty sparse, so we need to look beyond that and see where else he seems to play fairly well.

Duncan finished T13 at the Wyndham Championship last year, where Kevin Kisner and Webb Simpson have won, two players that excel here, and he also finished T24 at the Honda back in 2018, a correlating course.

After missing the cut at the season-opening, Fortinet Championship, Duncan has gone on to finish T14, T45 and T29 in his three most recent starts, with the latter coming last week in Houston. He closed out last week with a final-round 66, where he bogeyed just one hole, a short par-4. That should give him confidence heading back to an event he’s won, finished 25th at the year before when 8th after 54 holes and where he has six rounds of 67 or better in four starts.

The RSM Classic Field

*Four Monday Qualifiers still TBD

  • Aberg, Ludvig
  • Aphibarnrat, Kiradech
  • Barjon, Paul
  • Blixt, Jonas
  • Bradley, Keegan
  • Bramlett, Joseph
  • Buckley, Hayden
  • Burgoon, Bronson
  • Byrd, Jonathan
  • Cink, Stewart
  • Clark, Wyndham
  • Conners, Corey
  • Cook, Austin
  • Crane, Ben
  • Creel, Joshua
  • Dahmen, Joel
  • Davis, Cam
  • Day, Jason
  • Donald, Luke
  • Drewitt, Brett
  • Duncan, Tyler
  • English, Harris
  • Frittelli, Dylan
  • Garnett, Brice
  • Gay, Brian
  • Ghim, Doug
  • Gligic, Michael
  • Glover, Lucas
  • Gooch, Talor
  • Grace, Branden
  • Griffin, J.P.
  • Griffin, Lanto
  • Grillo, Emiliano
  • Gutschewski, Scott
  • Haas, Bill
  • Hadley, Chesson
  • Hadwin, Adam
  • Hagy, Brandon
  • Hardy, Nick
  • Harman, Brian
  • Henley, Russell
  • Herman, Jim
  • Hickok, Kramer
  • Higgs, Harry
  • Hodges, Lee
  • Hoge, Tom
  • Homa, Max
  • Howell III, Charles
  • Hughes, Mackenzie
  • Huh, John
  • Jaeger, Stephan
  • Johnson, Zach
  • Jones, Matt
  • Kang, Sung
  • Kirk, Chris
  • Kisner, Kevin
  • Kitayama, Kurt
  • Kizzire, Patton
  • Knox, Russell
  • Kohles, Ben
  • Kraft, Kelly
  • Kuchar, Matt
  • Lahiri, Anirban
  • Landry, Andrew
  • Lashley, Nate
  • Lebioda, Hank
  • Lee, Danny
  • Lipsky, David
  • List, Luke
  • Long, Adam
  • Love III, Davis
  • Lower, Justin
  • Malnati, Peter
  • McCarthy, Denny
  • McCumber, Tyler
  • McDowell, Graeme
  • McGirt, William
  • McGreevy, Max
  • Merritt, Troy
  • Mitchell, Keith
  • Moore, Taylor
  • Mullinax, Trey
  • Muñoz, Sebastián
  • NeSmith, Matthew
  • Niemann, Joaquin
  • Noh, Seung-Yul
  • Noren, Alex
  • Norlander, Henrik
  • Novak, Andrew
  • Oosthuizen, Louis
  • Pendrith, Taylor
  • Pereira, Mito
  • Piercy, Scott
  • Poston, J.T.
  • Power, Seamus
  • Putnam, Andrew
  • Rai, Aaron
  • Ramey, Chad
  • Reavie, Chez
  • Redman, Doc
  • Reeves, Seth
  • Riley, Davis
  • Rodgers, Patrick
  • Rose, Justin
  • Ryder, Sam
  • Sabbatini, Rory
  • Scheffler, Scottie
  • Schenk, Adam
  • Schwab, Matthias
  • Scott, Adam
  • Sigg, Greyson
  • Simpson, Webb
  • Skinns, David
  • Sloan, Roger
  • Smalley, Alex
  • Smith, Cameron
  • Smotherman, Austin
  • Snedeker, Brandt
  • Spaun, J.J.
  • Stallings, Scott
  • Stanley, Kyle
  • Steele, Brendan
  • Straka, Sepp
  • Streb, Robert
  • Streelman, Kevin
  • Stroud, Chris
  • Stuard, Brian
  • Svensson, Adam
  • Swafford, Hudson
  • Tarren, Callum
  • Taylor, Vaughn
  • Theegala, Sahith
  • Thompson, Curtis
  • Thompson, Davis
  • Thompson, Michael
  • Todd, Brendon
  • Trainer, Martin
  • Tway, Kevin
  • Uihlein, Peter
  • van der Walt, Dawie
  • Vegas, Jhonattan
  • Villegas, Camilo
  • Walker, Jimmy
  • Wallace, Matt
  • Watney, Nick
  • Werenski, Richy
  • Whaley, Vince
  • Wolfe, Jared
  • Wu, Brandon
  • Wu, Dylan
  • Young, Cameron
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