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Phil Mickelson 2022 US Open Odds, Betting Preview, and Predictions

Phil Mickelson has been under scrutiny for most of the 2022 PGA Tour season. His decision to join the Saudi-funded LIV golf league for a guaranteed paycheck has only increased the amount of attention and speculation surrounding the veteran golfer. Will the 51-year-old American earn his first top 25 finish of the season? Or will he disappoint and miss the cut? Let's look at Phil Mickelson's 2022 US Open odds, betting preview, and predictions.
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Phil Mickelson 2022 US Open Odds, Betting Preview, and Predictions

It's been a wild ride for Phil Mickelson this year. From playing in just four PGA Tour events to signing with LIV, the grizzled veteran has faced much scrutiny and speculation surrounding his decisions. Mickelson last made the cut during the Sentry Tournament of Champions back in January, yielding a T30 finish. He suffered consecutive missed cuts afterward and has not competed in any PGA event since late January.

Mickelson has never won at the US Open, but he did produce an impressive win during the PGA Championship in 2021 to become the first player on the PGA Tour to win a major as a 50-year-old. So he still possesses some juice in terms of his ability to ball-strike, but he's been MIA for a few months now.

Does the 51-year-old American have the mental fortitude to overcome the scrutiny and limited play to climb the leaderboards at Brookline this weekend? Or will he stumble out of the gate and miss the cut? There's only one way to find out. So let's look at Mickelson's outlook ahead of the 2022 US Open.

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Phil Mickelson US Open Odds

To Win+200000.50%
Top 5 Finish+35002.78%
Top 10 Finish+16005.88%

PHIL MICKELSON US OPEN ODDS: WINNER +20000 (Bet $100 to win $20000)

Let's call it what it is. +20000 to be the outright winner of the 2022 US Open indicates that Mickelson has a bleak outlook on scaling the leaderboard at The Country Club. More than 60 players have better odds, and even the players with lower odds than Mickelson have been much more active competing this season. Of course, +20000 is a massive number if it hits, but the 0.50 percent implied probability signals that betting on Mickelson to win outright is a bad investment.

PHIL MICKELSON US OPEN ODDS: TOP 5 FINISH +3500 (Bet $100 to win $3500)

Sportsbooks are giving Mickelson odds for a T5 finish that are six times better than his chances of winning the US Open outright. Still, a top-five finish is a difficult achievement for any player in a major. Mickelson has eight finishes inside the top five across 30 US Open events in his career, with the last one recorded in 2013 at Merion Golf Club. So don't fall for this trap despite the increased odds.

PHIL MICKELSON US OPEN ODDS: TOP 10 FINISH +1600 (Bet $100 to win $1600)

Okay, we've finally arrived at Mickelson's odds to produce a T10 finish. +1600 is still extremely low, as Rory McIlroy's odds to be the outright winner are up at +1000. Mickelson has not played well in recent US Open events, and his absence from the PGA Tour, combined with the pressure and scrutiny from his decision to join the LIV golf league, will combine to form too steep of an obstacle to overcome. Recent finishes of T62, MC, T52, T48, MC, and T64 show that the veteran is no longer in his prime.

Phil Mickelson US Open PREDICTION

If it wasn't clear, I'm fading Mickelson to produce any top ten finish during the 2022 US Open. He has not performed well in the past several years at this event, and the amount of time he's spent mired in controversy and removed from competing will only create more adversity. While it's fun to entertain +1600 odds for Mickelson to defy expectations with a top-ten finish, it's not a realistic outcome. So fade the veteran, as making the cut will be his primary battle in Brookline this weekend.

US Open Odds

GolferUS Open Odds
Rory McIlroy+1000
Justin Thomas+1100
Jon Rahm+1200
Scottie Scheffler+1400
Xander Schauffele +1600
Patrick Cantlay+2000
Cameron Smith+2200
Jordan Spieth+2800
Dustin Johnson+2800
Collin Morikawa+3000
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Matt is an avid writer, editor, and researcher. He enjoys analyzing the game within the game which is fantasy sports and sports betting. Music is another constant in his daily life. Matt loves spending time with his wife and three pets. He likes to read, listen to podcasts, and is constantly motivated to create the most accurate and engaging content in the sports betting industry.


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