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PGA Power Rankings: Top 5 for the Pebble Beach Pro-Am

The PGA Tour will exchange SoCal for NorCal along the iconic shores of Pebble Beach Golf Links in Pebble Beach, California beginning Thursday morning. PGA handicapper Matt MacKay is here with his power rankings ahead of Thursday's opening round.
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PGA Power Rankings: Top 5 for the Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Max Homa won his sixth PGA Tour event by saving his best round for last, logging six-under-par with clutch approach shots and putting, usurping Sam Ryder and holding onto the lead to win by two strokes (-13-under-par) over runner-up Keegan Bradley. It was Homa's fourth win in the state of California, so he'll be taking some time off to celebrate with his family, earning his first win as a father. Torrey Pines South is a tough course to conquer, so Homa should feel extra accomplished with his memorable comeback performance.

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The PGA Tour will stay in California for the third consecutive event but it will migrate north to the beautiful shores of northern California for the 2023 Pebble Beach Pro-Am. 156 celebrities and other amateur golfers will compete alongside the 156 professional golfers at Pebble Beach Golf Links. The top 25 two-team pairings will advance to the final round on Sunday and also compete in the 3M Celebrity Challenge on Wednesday before the opening round begins Thursday morning. It's a charity event held at a strictly par-3 golf course named The Hay, providing a fun way to open up the 2023 Pro-Am. Josh Allen, Aaron Rodgers, Darius Rucker, and Bill Murray are just a few of the big celebrity names that will be competing at these Pebble Beach events this weekend.

Jordan Spieth is the betting favorite amongst the 156 professional golfers teeing off at Pebble Beach this weekend. The Texas native won here back in 2017 and should be fresh after resting during the previous two PGA events in Southern California. Here are our picks, predictions, and odds in the form of power rankings ahead of Thursday's opening tee times from Pebble Beach, California.

Pebble Beach Pro-Am Time and Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date - Thursday, February 2nd - Sunday, February 5th, 2023
  • Opening Tee Time - 11:30 a.m. ET - 6:00 p.m. ET
  • Where - Pebble Beach Golf Links, Pebble Beach, California
  • Where to Watch - Golf Channel, CBS, ESPN+

Pebble Beach Pro-Am Past Winners

  • 2022 - Tom Hoge (-19)
  • 2021 - Daniel Berger (-18)
  • 2020 - Nick Taylor (-19)
  • 2019 - Phil Mickelson (-19)
  • 2018 - Ted Potter, Jr. (-17)
  • 2017 - Jordan Spieth (-19)

Pebble Beach Pro-Am Odds

PlayerOdds to Win Outright
Jordan Spieth+900
Matthew Fitzpatrick+900
Viktor Hovland+1000
Tom Hoge+1800
Maverick McNealy+2200
Seamus Power+2200
Justin Rose+2800
Andrew Putnam+3000
Denny McCarthy+3500
Matt Kuchar+3500

Pebble Beach Pro-Am Courses

Pebble Beach consists of three different courses. There is the iconic Pebble Beach Golf Links, which will be played once during the first three rounds while playing a second time for the top 60 players who advance past the cut line enforced after Saturday's third round concludes. Pebble Beach is a par 72 that runs 6,972 yards, including four par 3s and par 5s, evenly distributed across the front and back nine.

The other two courses have their own unique layout and hazards to avoid. Monterey Peninsula Country Club is a par 71 that runs 6,958 yards. There is only one par 5 on the front nine but three par 3s, demanding precision and quality putting. There are three par 5s loaded on the back nine though, creating more opportunities to lower players' scorecards. Last but not least is Spyglass Hill Golf Course, which is another par 72 that runs the shortest at 6,858 yards. The course begins with a par 5, while there are three more par 5s and four par 3s scattered throughout the front and back nine. Cypress trees, huge sand bunkers, steep coastal cliffs, and sweeping views of the Pacific Ocean roll out as far as the eye can see, creating dizzying depth perception that is great for television but difficult for players to conquer.

Pebble Beach Pro-Am Power Rankings

1. Jordan Spieth (+900) Bet $100 to collect $1,000 Get the best odds at BetRivers, click here to bet

One of the most consistently successful players at Pebble Beach is none other than Jordan Spieth. The Texas native won it all by four strokes (-19) back in 2017, while coming up two strokes short as the runner-up to Tom Hoge in 2022. Spieth has finished inside of the top ten in three previous appearances at Pebble Beach, which is why he's the betting favorite at 9/1 odds. He's well-rested and confident at this course, so he deserves to be ranked atop the 2023 Pebble Beach Pro-Am power rankings.

2. Tom Hoge (+1800) Bet $100 to collect $1,900 Get the best odds at Ceasars, click here to bet

We're landing lucrative 18/1 odds on the defending champion. Tom Hoge deserves to be recognized for his ability to play well at Pebble Beach. The 33-year-old American outlasted Spieth in 2022, going -13-under-par across the first and final rounds, while previously recording finishes of 12th, T60, MC, and MC. Obviously, Hoge struggled here earlier in his career but two T25 finishes, including an outright win, plus his three T10 finishes to start the 2023 season make Hoge a prime candidate to bet on ahead of Thursday's opening tee times.

3. Maverick McNealy (+2200) Bet $100 to collect $2,300 Get the best odds at Ceasars, click here to bet

Maverick McNealy has been flying quietly under the radar this season despite logging three T10s and five T25s in eight events played. The 27-year-old native of California logged a T31 finish at Farmers Insurance Open last weekend with a disappointing +2 in the final round, however, he's ranked second in strokes gained putting and averages 4.2 birdies per round. McNealy has logged previous finishes of T33, 2nd, and T5 in his previous three events at Pebble Beach, so we're getting insane value at 22/1 odds with McNealy this weekend, as he seeks his first outright win of the season and first career win at Pebble Beach after coming within two strokes back in 2021.

4. Denny McCarthy (+3500) Bet $100 to collect $3,600 Get the best odds at DraftKings, click here to bet

Denny McCarthy is another relatively big betting favorite at Pebble Beach this weekend. The 29-year-old American has previous finishes of T12, MC, T66 at this venue and hasn't competed since The American Express a couple of weeks ago, where he logged a disappointing T50 finish. McCarthy has a lot of talent but his current numbers don't necessarily reflect this through nine events played this season, only delivering one T10 and two T25 finishes. However, he's only missed one cut and if not for logging his highest score (-1) on Sunday last year, he would've had a T10 finish and challenged down the stretch. McCarthy is a bit risky to invest in but he's good enough to overcome perception.

5. Russell Knox (+7500) Bet $100 to collect $7,600 Get the best odds at FanDuel, click here to bet

Russell Knox has cooled off considerably since November, going T67 and T54 at the Sony Open and The American Express. The 37-year-old Scottish golfer has logged previous finishes of T33, T7, MC, T14, and T15 at Pebble Beach and is a top-ten golfer in strokes gained approaching the green this season. Knox has some of the best ball-striking in this field, ranked 40th with a 72 percent greens in regulation conversion rate, while also having three T25 finishes in his last five appearances at Pebble Beach. Based on the 75/1 odds we're getting with Knox, I'm loving his upside and experience on the slate this weekend.

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Matt is an avid writer, editor, and researcher. He enjoys analyzing the game within the game which is fantasy sports and sports betting. Music is another constant in his daily life. Matt loves spending time with his wife and three pets. He likes to read, listen to podcasts, and is constantly motivated to create the most accurate and engaging content in the sports betting industry.


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