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Genesis Invitational Projected Cut Line: Will Tiger Woods Make the Cut?

Genesis Invitational projected cut line and breakdown of Friday's second round. Will Tiger Woods make the cut at the Genesis Invitational? Well, we don't know yet but we can take a look at the projected cut to try and find out.
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Genesis Invitational Projected Cut Line: Will Tiger Woods Make the Cut?

What is the Genesis Invitational projected cut line? That's the question on the minds of all golf fans right now as Friday's Round 2 at Riviera winds down. Making it even more dramatic is the fact that Tiger Woods is sitting right on the projected number.

The Genesis Invitational always seems to get a lot of hype on the PGA Tour calendar. For starters, it always has a good field, is hosted by Tiger Woods himself and is conveniently the week after the Super Bowl, leaving millions without plans on Sunday.

So, what is the Genesis Invitational cut line? As of right now, it appears as though +1 will be the cut line when play comes to a halt on Friday night. So, will Tiger Woods make the Genesis Invitational cut? Let's take a look to try and find out.

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Genesis Invitational Projected Cut Line

Projected Cut Line: +1

It looks as though the Genesis Invitational cut line is going to be +1 when all is said and done. Fortunately for us, and everyone that is watching, that means Tiger Woods would make the cut in this scenario.

Right now, there is a 10.3% chance the cut falls on even par, which would leave Tiger Woods on the wrong side of the number. Meanwhile, there is a 85% chance the Genesis Invitational cut line is +1 and a 4.% chance it's +2. In both those scenarios, Woods would make the cut for the Genesis Invitational.

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Genesis Invitational Cut Line - Top Golfer Probability

Tiger Woods - 78.4%

Tiger Woods' play on Friday wasn't pretty, but it looks as though he may have done just enough to make the Genesis Invitational cut line. Yesterday, in the opening round of the tournament he hosts, Woods shot a 1-under par. Today, it was a roller coaster affair that saw him finish 3-over par for the day and +1 for the tournament. That means Tiger Woods is right on the Genesis Invitational projected cut line.

Jason Day - 49.3%

Jason Day is currently sitting at +1 as well, but he's just on the third hole so far today and the course appears to be playing more difficult for the later groups than it did this morning. Day shot +1 in Thursday's opening round and is even on the day today. Day hasn't played in the Genesis Invitational since 2020 when he missed the cut after a brutal 76 in Round 2.

Tony Finau - 74.8%

Tony Finau finished Round 1 at the Genesis Invitational at 1-over par. But, he's started Friday's second round by firing in a birdie and sits at even par for the tournament now. Because of his fast start on Friday, Finau's chances to make the cut have risen from about 71% coming into the round to 74.8% through two holes. Can he keep up with the Genesis Invitational projected cut line? Only time will tell.

Hideki Matsuyama - 10.8%

Hideki Matsuyama's tournament is all but over thanks to a +2 performance today on Friday. Matsuyama was even par through 18 holes yesterday, looking like he'd have a chance to play on the weekend at the Genesis Invitational. Unfortunately for the former Masters champion, he fired a 2-over par in Friday's second round, placing him above the projected +1 cut line. Could he make it at +2? Of course. But the chances are just 10.8% as of now.

Matthew Fitzpatrick - 10.9%

Matthew Fitzpatrick, like fellow former major winner Hideki Matsuyama, has likely played his final hole of golf this week as he heads into the clubhouse at 2-over par at the Genesis Invitational. With leader Keith Mitchell sitting at -9, Fitzpatrick's +2, emphasized by his even-par performance on Friday, looks like it won't be enough to have him playing golf on Friday. However, remember there is a 5.5% chance the Genesis Invitational cut line moves to +2, in which case Fitzpatrick would make the cut.


Brian is a sports journalist with close to ten years of experience in the business. A lifelong Philadelphia sports fan with a passion for all things sports gambling.


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