Federated Auto Parts 400 Odds: Martin Truex Jr. Edges Out Chase Elliott as the Favorite to Win

Sportsbooks pulled a major shocker this week. The favorite isn’t Chase Elliott, it’s not Kyle Larson, nor Ryan Blaney, and not even Ross Chastain. Instead, in a shocking move, the favorite is Martin Truex Jr.
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Federated Auto Parts 400 Odds: Martin Truex Jr. Edges Out Chase Elliott as the Favorite to Win

Sportsbooks pulled a major shocker this week. The favorite isn’t Chase Elliott, it’s not Kyle Larson, nor Ryan Blaney, and not even Ross Chastain. Instead, in a shocking move, the favorite is Martin Truex Jr.

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FEDERATED AUTO PARTS 400 ODDS

Truex is given +600 odds, or an implied 14.3% chance to win the race. His biggest competition is expected to be Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch, both given +700 odds or an implied 12.5% chance to win. Then it’s Christopher Bell in fourth with +900 odds, or an implied 10% chance.

None of the usual favorites are given even a 10% chance to win the Federated Auto 400. Elliott is given +1000 odds, or an implied 9.1% chance. Larson is given +1100 odds, or an implied 8.3% chance. Blaney is at +1200, or an implied 7.7% chance. Lastly, Chastain is given +1400 odds or an implied 6.7% chance to win the race. It’s the first time this season that none of those four have either been the favorite or had at least a 10% chance to win.

This is only the second time that Truex has been favored to win a race this season. The last time, the Blue-Emu 400, Truex finished 22nd. The eventual winner of the race, William Byron, was given +1200 odds despite an incredibly strong start to the season. Now with only a few races to go before the playoffs the books are back on Truex. Will it go the same way it went last time with a driver that’s been better this season taking home the win? The books certainly don’t like the usual favorites here.

FEDERATED AUTO PARTS 400 ODDS

DriverOddsImplied chance
Martin Truex Jr.+60014.3%
Denny Hamlin+70012.5%
Kyle Busch+70012.5%
Christopher Bell+90010%
Chase Elliott+10009.1%
Kyle Larson+11008.3%
Ryan Blaney+12007.7%
Ross Chastain+14006.7%
Kevin Harvick+15006.3%
Joey Logano+16005.9%

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A PR Associate at @OddsCheckerUS. Available for Podcasts, Radio, and TV. Quoted in Forbes, Chicago Tribune, Sports Illustrated, and more.

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