Federated Auto Parts 400 Odds: Martin Truex Jr. Edges Out Chase Elliott as the Favorite to Win

Federated Auto Parts 400 Odds: Martin Truex Jr. Edges Out Chase Elliott as the Favorite to Win
Sportsbooks pulled a major shocker this week. The favorite isn’t Chase Elliott, it’s not Kyle Larson, nor Ryan Blaney, and not even Ross Chastain. Instead, in a shocking move, the favorite is Martin Truex Jr.
FEDERATED AUTO PARTS 400 ODDS
Truex is given +600 odds, or an implied 14.3% chance to win the race. His biggest competition is expected to be Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch, both given +700 odds or an implied 12.5% chance to win. Then it’s Christopher Bell in fourth with +900 odds, or an implied 10% chance.
None of the usual favorites are given even a 10% chance to win the Federated Auto 400. Elliott is given +1000 odds, or an implied 9.1% chance. Larson is given +1100 odds, or an implied 8.3% chance. Blaney is at +1200, or an implied 7.7% chance. Lastly, Chastain is given +1400 odds or an implied 6.7% chance to win the race. It’s the first time this season that none of those four have either been the favorite or had at least a 10% chance to win.
This is only the second time that Truex has been favored to win a race this season. The last time, the Blue-Emu 400, Truex finished 22nd. The eventual winner of the race, William Byron, was given +1200 odds despite an incredibly strong start to the season. Now with only a few races to go before the playoffs the books are back on Truex. Will it go the same way it went last time with a driver that’s been better this season taking home the win? The books certainly don’t like the usual favorites here.
FEDERATED AUTO PARTS 400 ODDS
Driver | Odds | Implied chance |
---|---|---|
Martin Truex Jr. | +600 | 14.3% |
Denny Hamlin | +700 | 12.5% |
Kyle Busch | +700 | 12.5% |
Christopher Bell | +900 | 10% |
Chase Elliott | +1000 | 9.1% |
Kyle Larson | +1100 | 8.3% |
Ryan Blaney | +1200 | 7.7% |
Ross Chastain | +1400 | 6.7% |
Kevin Harvick | +1500 | 6.3% |
Joey Logano | +1600 | 5.9% |
A PR Associate at @OddsCheckerUS. Available for Podcasts, Radio, and TV. Quoted in Forbes, Chicago Tribune, Sports Illustrated, and more.