What Horse Should I Bet On For The 2021 Kentucky Derby?

It’s the question we ask ourselves at the same time every year! We break down every single runner in this year’s 2021 Kentucky Derby
Tom Dodd
Fri, April 30, 12:44 PM EDT

2021 Kentucky Derby Betting Guide

Whether you’re an experienced horse racing bettor or just a beginner everyone loves a wager on the Kentucky Derby. If you’re an expert, you probably know exactly who you’re betting on for the Kentucky Derby already, if you’re not you can just pick your favorite name, favorite colors or just your favorite jockey. However, if you want to know a little bit more about the 2021 Kentucky Derby, we’ve broken down the entire field with our Kentucky Derby betting guide, so you have everything you need know about the race. Below you’ll find information on every runner, from the betting favorite to the big longshots.

What Horse Should I Bet On For The 2021 Kentucky Derby?

It’s the question you need to know the answer of and hopefully our Kentucky Derby betting guide below will help!

Known Agenda, Post Position: 1, Odds: 6/1

It was all looking so smooth for Todd Pletcher’s Known Agenda until he got drawn in the dreaded number 1 post position. He prepped for the Kentucky Derby with an easy win in the Florida Derby and if you can overlook the draw he has a big chance. He’ll need to get away well to avoid getting stuck behind a wall of horses, but if he starts well, he’s a big danger to all.

Like The King, Post Position: 2, Odds: 50/1

Probably one for those who like to bet on good names. Not much chance on form for trainer Wesley Ward.

Brooklyn Strong, Post Position: 3, Odds: 50/1

Again, bound to be popular for all Brooklyn residents, but not for the form students.

Keepmeinmind, Post Position: 4, Odds: 50/1

The blinkers come off for the Derby, but he’s not been up to this level in his last few starts.

Sainthood, Post Position: 5, Odds: 50/1

Now here’s an interesting longshot for the stats geeks! Sainthood needs to step up, but is very lightly raced and performed with credit last time – he’s open to improvement. He’s also got the perfect draw in post 5, which is the most successful in Derby history! Number 5 has produced the most winners and runner-ups out of any position in the race’s history. Don’t sleep on the Saint.

O Besos, Post Position: 6, Odds: 20/1

Hard to see him winning, but this closer could well run on late for place money.

Mandaloun, Post Position: 7, Odds: 15/1

The sharps have been shouting about this one and could be a money horse on the day. Has the form to compete if you can forgive a bad run last time out.

Medina Spirit, Post Position: 8, Odds: 15/1

A really consistent horse who is trained by the maestro Bob Baffert, he’s bound to run his race, but hard to see him finishing in the top spot.

Hot Rod Charlie, Post Position: 9, Odds: 8/1

Another one for those who like good names, but this one has a serious chance on the book too. Really impressive in the Louisiana Derby and definitely a big contender.

Midnight Bourbon, Post Position: 10, Odds: 20/1

We’ll probably all be on the bourbon if he wins, was firmly put in his place by Hot Rod Charlie last time out. Place claims at best.

Dynamic One, Post Position: 11, Odds: 20/1

Doesn’t have the typical profile of a Kentucky Derby winner, but is slowly getting better. Hard to completely dismiss for the master trainer Todd Pletcher.

Helium, Post Position: 12, Odds: 50/1

Is an unbeaten colt heading into the Derby, but has to prove his stamina. He’s interesting on his Tampa Bay Derby win, but the worry is if he’ll get home.

Hidden Stash, Post Position: 13, Odds: 50/1

Hidden Stash will need to have hidden ability to win this, no chance on what he’s shown to date.

Essential Quality, Post Position: 14, Odds: 2/1

Essential Quality heads into the 2021 Kentucky Derby as the big betting favorite and with a 5-0 record he’s definitely the one to beat. He was the Champion Juvenile last year and has won all of his prep races this time around. However, his odds are very short for a horse that only actually won by a very narrow margin last time and his draw is by no means ideal. We can pass over at 2/1.

Rock Your World, Post Position: 15, Odds: 5/1

Two of the big guns are drawn next to each other here and it will be interesting to see how Joel Rosario plays it on Rock Your World from the gate as he’s all about speed. He’ll need to be to get across from 15 at the first bend, but he’s a big player if making a good start. Was very impressive in Santa Anita Derby.

King Fury, Post Position: 16, Odds: 20/1

One for fight fans as he’s named after heavyweight champ Tyson Fury. Proven at the track but needs one or two of these to underperform to hit the frame.

Highly Motivated, Post Position: 17, Odds: 10/1

Defeated only by the favorite Essential Quality in the Blue Grass stakes and looks overpriced considering the margin of victory was so small. However, definite concerns about his stamina.

Super Stock, Post Position: 18, Odds: 30/1

Can Steve Asmussen finally win the Derby? Probably not with this horse.

Soup And Sandwich, Post Position: 19, Odds: 30/1

The winner of the Best Name Stakes and sure to be popular with the public. Will need to step up on existing form (though wasn’t bad when runner-up in the Florida Derby) and lack of experience is a worry.

Bourbonic, Post Position: 20, Odds: 30/1

Last but not (quite) least, Bourbonic caused a mega upset last time at Aqueduct in the Wood Memorial, but would cause an even bigger shock winning this from post 20.

Verdict, so what horse should I bet on for the Kentucky Derby? 

Those that bet on their favorite names are probably likely to land on Soup And Sandwich, but if you want a bet based on form and odds, we recommend overlooking the favorite and taking a chance on either Known Agenda or Rock Your World. As mentioned above, for a huge longshot, go for Sainthood. 

How To Bet On The Kentucky Derby

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Here’s how you join TVG:

1. Open a TVG account through this exclusive OddsChecker link below

2. Use the bonus code ‘RISKFREE300”

3. Make your first deposit

4. Place your first single horse win-type bet risk free up to $300 and get it back if you don’t win

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