Ballon d’Or Odds: Lionel Messi Given % Chance Of 7th Ballon d’Or By Oddsmakers
The FIFA Ballon d’Or is the award given out at the end of each year recognizing the best soccer player on the planet. It’s the most prestigious individual award in soccer. The Ballon d’Or award is voted on by soccer journalists and given to the player that has given the best individual performances of the year.
If you’re a soccer fan, you already probably think that Lionel Messi is the greatest footballer of all time and if you based that title on Ballon d’Or awards, it would confirm it. Lionel Messi has won the most Ballon d’Or awards of any footballer in history. He has won it 6 times and is now the betting favorite to win it for an incredible 7th time, at the age of 34.
Throughout 2021, the Ballon d’Or odds market has been wide open as there hasn’t been a player that has stood out over others … until now. Previously, Chelsea players such as N’golo Kante and Jorginho were among the favorites to win after their Champions League success, and before that Kylian Mbappe was considered a front runner to win the Ballon d’Or.
Now, however, there’s a clear favorite. Lionel Messi helped guide his country Argentina to a Copa America success just a week ago, ensuring he won his first ever country with his national team. This, plus superb performances for his club Barcelona, have ensured he is now the favorite in the Ballon d’Or odds market.
By studying the Ballon d’Or odds (you can find the market here) you’ll see that Lionel Messi’s odds are now -304, in other words that implies a 75.2% chance of winning another Ballon d’Or.
Ballon d’Or Odds
Lionel Messi -304
Harry Kane +500
Robert Lewandowski +650
Cristiano Ronaldo +800
Ngolo Kante +1200
Raheem Sterling +1300
Kevin DeBruyne +1500
Kylian Mbappe +1500
Lionel Messi Ballon d’Or Odds
As you can see from the Ballon d’Or odds listed above, Lionel Messi is the clear and overwhelming favorite. His odds of -304 imply a 75% chance of success and a $10 wager on Messi would only yield a profit of $3.29!
Cristiano Ronaldo Ballon d’Or Odds
Cristiano Ronaldo is the second most successful soccer player when it comes to Ballon d’Or wins. However, this year the 36-year-old has been given very little chance of equalling Lionel Messi’s record total of 6 wins. Ronaldo’s Ballon d’Or odds are +800, or in traditional terms 8/1.
Kylian Mbappe Ballon d’Or Odds
As mentioned, earlier in the year Kylian Mbappe was one of the favorites in the Ballon d’Or odds betting. But after PSG went out of the Champions League at the semifinal stage and a poor individual performance for France at the Euros, the sportsbooks give him very little chance of winning the Ballon d’Or for the first time. His Ballon d’Or odds are now +1500, which implies a 6.3% of winning.
Who has won the most Ballon d’Or?
When looking at the past history of Ballon d’Or winners, it’s a who’s-who of soccer legends. You’ve obviously got Lionel Messi with the most ever wins at 6 and then there’s his biggest rival, Cristiano Ronaldo, in second place with 5 Ballon d’Or awards. These two players are the most successful in this award in history. After that you’ve got European legends such as Johann Cruyff, Marco Van Basten and Michel Platini in joint-third most with 3 Ballon d’Or awards.
Lionel Messi – 6
Cristiano Ronaldo – 5
Johann Cruyff – 3
Michel Platini – 3
Marco Van Basten – 3
Alfredo Di Stefano – 2
Franz Beckenbauer – 2
Kevin Keegan – 2
Ronaldo – 2
Karl-Heinz Rummenigge – 2