Women’s Olympic Soccer Odds: USWNT Slight Favorites Over Netherlands in Quarterfinals

The latest USA vs. Netherlands odds have Team USA just slightly favored to advance
Brian Good
Wed, July 28, 2:16 PM EDT

Women’s Olympic Soccer Odds: USWNT Slight Favorites Over Netherlands in Quarterfinals

The United States Women’s National Soccer Team limped through play in Group G, earning a 1-1-1 record throughout their first three games in Tokyo. As a result, the defending World Cup Champions could very well be eliminated in the quarterfinals for the second time in as many Olympic games. They are favored to defeat Netherlands, according to the latest USA vs. Netherlands odds, but just slightly.

If the United States had won its group, they would have drawn Japan in the opening round of the Knockout Stage. Japan is a solid team, but they are ranked No. 10 in the world. Instead, The USWNT draws Netherlands the No. 4 team in the world and their opponent in the 2019 World Cup Final.

If the United States is going to come home with a gold medal, as so many expected they would, they’ll need to turn around their play immediately. A loss to Netherlands on Friday and they’ll be headed home early from the Olympics, again.

How to Watch USA vs. Netherlands: Olympic Quarterfinals

Date: Friday, July 30

Time: 7:00 AM ET

How to Watch: NBCSN

How to Stream: Peacock

Olympic Women’s Soccer Odds: USA vs. Netherlands

Team USA should be able to beat Netherlands on Friday in the opening round of the Knockout Stage. They defeated them 2-0 in the 2019 World Cup Final and are the better team on paper. But they also shouldn’t have lost to Sweden and tied Australia in the Group Stage, so who knows?

Netherlands won Group F, finishing 2-1 with a +13 goal differential. Games against China and Xambia certainly helped, but they tied a great Brazilian team as well. As for the United States, they were 1-1-1 with a +2 goal differential thanks to a 3-0 loss to Sweden in their opening game of the 2021 Olympic Games

United States 2021 Olympics Results: Sweden 3, United States 0; United States 6, New Zealand 1; United States 0, Australia 0.

Netherlands 2021 Olympics Results: Netherlands 10, Zambia 3; Netherlands 3, Brazil 3; Netherlands 8, China 2

Due to their slow play and the strong play from the Netherlands, the USWNT is favored, but just slightly. The United States, which came into the Olympics as odds-on favorites to win gold at -165 is +140 to beat Netherlands in the Olympic quarterfinals.

Netherlands odds to defeat the United States sit at +195 and a draw, which would be followed by penalty kicks in the knockout stage.

The winner of Friday’s USA vs. Netherlands game plays the winner of the Canada vs. Brazil quarterfinal.

Result Odds Implied Probability
Team USA Win +140 41.7%
Draw +260 27.8%
Netherlands Win +195 33.9%

Olympic Women’s Soccer Odds: Gold Medal Odds

Oddly enough, the United States’ odds to beat Netherlands in their first Knockout Stage game are just slightly better than their gold medal odds, which sit at +190.

The United States is still the favorite, but just barely. Sweden is +20 to win gold, the Netherlands is +450, Great Britain sits at +500 and Brazil rounds out the top five at +800.

Team USA +190

Sweden +250

Netherlands +450

Great Britain +500

Brazil +800

Japan +1600

Canada +2000

Australia +2500

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