2021 Ballon d'Or Odds Update: Ranking the Top 5 Candidates to Win the Award

With the Ballon D'or winner set to be announced exactly one month from today, we have the updated top five favorites to win the award in 2021, according to the latest Ballon D'or odds Robert Lewandowski is the new favorite to take home the award.
Tom Viera |
Fri, October 29, 4:43 AM EDT | 6 min read
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2021 Ballon d'Or Odds Update: Ranking the Top 5 Candidates to Win the Award

When is the Ballon D'or Announced?

The 2021 Ballon d’Or ceremony is on Monday, 29 November.

How is a winner chosen for the Ballon d'Or?

A panel of voters is selected, they then choose their top five players from the list of 30. The list of 30 players is established by a select group of 180 journalists from around the world to determine the top 30 candidates for the award. The top-ranking player from each journalist's selection will receive six points, with the second-ranking player earning four points, then three, two, and one going down from the rest of their top five picks. After each member on the panel has selected their top five players for the Ballon d'Or award, the total points are calculated and added, and the player to receive the most number of points will be awarded the honor of Ballon D'or.

On November 29 in Paris, the 2021 Ballon D'or winner will be announced. So exactly a month away from the winner being announced we've taken a look at the latest rankings based on the odds.

Click Here For The Latest Ballon d'Or Odds

1. Robert Lewandowski (-149)

Lewandowski has seen his odds cut tremendously over the last month. Just two weeks ago he was +290 behind Lionel Messi. He has now surpassed Messi as the favorite to win the Ballon d'Or. Over a month ago he was priced at +500 and I stated he would be my pick based on his consistent play in 2020-2021. Well a month later and here we are, Lewandowski is the favorite. The Polish striker has been nothing short of phenomenal the last few years. He is arguably the most in-form player in the world at the moment. Many will argue he was robbed of the award in 2020 when the Covid-19 pandemic canceled the award. In the 2019-20 campaign, he netted a staggering 55 goals in 47 games. He has scored 9 goals in 8 games already for Bayern Munich and shows no signs of slowing down. He's put together some strong performances of late in Champions League that have definitely helped his cause. Voters may also agree with me that he was robbed of the award in 2020 and he deserves recognition for his outstanding play.

2. Lionel Messi (+160)

Messi, who left Barcelona for Paris Saint-Germain this summer, has a record six career Ballon d'Or trophies and is the most recent winner in 2019. For the first time in 2021 he's not the favorite to win. After winning the first major international trophy of his professional career with Argentina, leading the national team to a Copa America title. A huge monkey has been lifted off his shoulders from winning Copa America now. He also scored 30 goals and had nine assists in La Liga during the 2020-21 season. His start to his career at PSG has been a bit pedestrian by Messi standards. He's yet to score or have an assist in the French Ligue 1.  He has turned it on a bit in Champions League netting 3 goals in PSG's last two matches. Messi left Barcelona for a multitude of reasons but one was surely because of the lack of winning. His club was eliminated from the Champions League in embarrassing fashion by his new club PSG, and he continuously found himself having to bail out Barcelona. Could this be the end of his reign?

3. Mohamed Salah (+1000)

Salah has bursted up the odds grid over the last month. Just two weeks ago we was priced at +1200 to take win the Ballon d'Or. The Egyptian striker is making his case as we move closer. He continues to score unbelivable goals every weekend for Liverpool. He is the leading man of the Liverpool attack and has been key in the club's success over the last few seasons. He has started off the Premier League season on fire scoring 10 goals in 9 games the most in the EPL. He has scored in each of his last nine matches for Liverpool. Including an impressive hat-trick last weekend against Manchester United at Old Trafford in a dominant 5-0 victory. Salah is making a case for being the best player in the world but I don't believe it will be enough to win the award here in 2021 as Liverpool and he struggled mightily most of last season.

4. Jorginho (+1600)

Jorghino has been third in the Ballon d'Or rankngs since his amazing summer but the play have Mo Salah has pushed him down the list. It might not be a popular decision if he places in the top three, but voters put more stock in trophies than statistics sometimes just as they do in other sports. The Italian star midfielder was named the UEFA Men's Player of the Year in August. He was a key cog in Italy lifting the Euro 2020 trophy this past summer. He was also a key part of his Premier League club Chelsea, winning the Champions League and will continue to be key to Chelsea's success as they look to retain their Champions League crown and challenge for the Premier League title. Chelsea currently sits atop of the Premier League table and he just netted 2 goals from the penalty spot in Chelsea's last Champions League match. His odds have lengthened tremendously moving from +650 to +1600 over the last month as we get closer to the award ceremony.

5. Karim Benzema (+2000)

The newest face in our top five is Karim Benzema. Benzema has had a great start to the 2021-22 season with Real Madrid, scoring 9 goals and providing 7 assists in 10 LaLiga matches, more than any other player. He finished the 2020-2021 season with 30 goals but Real Madrid finished the year with no trophies. He played for the French national team for the first time in six years and helped them to a UEFA Nations League title. He is missing the trophies but his individual performance has been one of the best in the world.

Click Here For The Latest Ballon d'Or Odds

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