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USA vs. Mexico World Cup Qualifying Complete Betting Preview, Odds, and How to Watch

With the United States World Cup qualification still hanging in the balance, they take on rival Mexico tonight in a CONCACAF World Cup qualifying third-round match. Here is the complete betting preview.
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USA vs. Mexico World Cup Qualifying Complete Betting Preview, Odds, and How to Watch

When: November 12, 9:10 p.m. ET

Where: TQL Stadium, Cincinnati OH

Where to Watch: ESPN 2/ESPN +

Click Here For USA vs. Mexico Odds

The United States versus Mexico is North America’s oldest and most bitter soccer rivalry. When the two sides meet each other, sparks always fly. Friday should be no different.

USA and Mexico meet for the 72nd time. While the USMNT is 21-36-15 all-time vs. El Tri in the series dating back to 1934. Since 2000 the USA holds a 16-9-6 advantage. In home World Cup qualifying matches since 1990, the U.S. is 4-1-1, with all four wins coming in the state of Ohio.

The U.S. won its last two matches against Mexico to clinch two regional trophies this summer. In June, they met in the Concacaf Nations League Final, which got a Christian Pulisic game-winning goal and heroic penalty kick save from substitute goalkeeper Ethan Horvath in extra time for a 3-2 win. In August, they faced off again in the Concacaf Gold Cup Final, a 1-0 win for the USA in extra time on a 117th-minute goal from defender Miles Robinson. 

Tonight oddsmakers see Mexico coming out victorious though. Mexico is the slight favorite to win the game outright with +165 odds, or an implied 37.7% chance to win. The United States is given +190 odds, or an implied 34.5% chance. Oddsmakers give a draw +200 odds, or an implied 33.3% chance.

Despite the odds on the outright winner, oddsmakers believe that the most likely score is a tie. A 1-1 draw is considered the most likely, at +500. That’s followed by a 0-0 draw at +650.

A Mexico 1-0 win is also given +650 odds, and oddsmakers believe Wolves’ striker Raul Jimenez is the most likely goalscorer. Jimenez is given +220 odds to be Mexico’s first goalscorer. Likewise, Hirving Lozano is given +370 odds to be Mexico’s first goalscorer.

A USA 1-0 win is given +700 odds, the fourth most likely final score. Oddsmakers believe that teenage sensation Ricardo Pepi, giving him +370 odds to be the United States’ first goalscorer. Despite coming off the bench, Christian Pulisic is given the second-best odds, +500 odds, to be the US’s first goalscorer.

The United States is on a bit of a winning streak against Mexico. They’ve won the last two games that they’ve played. However, the previous two games went to extra time. Of course, The US’s inability to beat Mexico was a big reason they didn’t qualify for the World Cup in 2018.

America’s in danger again this time. They’re currently in second place, but one loss can potentially knock them into a tie for third place. On the flip side, a win would have them tied at the top of the table. So, this game could be a turning point in qualification for the young American squad.


ResultOddsImplied Chance
Mexico Win+16537.7%
USA Win+19034.5%

Click Here For Odds For Every Match


A PR Associate at @OddsCheckerUS. Available for Podcasts, Radio, and TV. Quoted in Forbes, Chicago Tribune, Sports Illustrated, and more.


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