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Ballon d'Or Odds Update: Who Leads The Way, Lewandowski or Messi?

With the Ballon D'or winner set to be announced this Monday, we have the updated top five favorites to win the award in 2021 based on the latest odds.
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Ballon d'Or Odds Update: Who Leads The Way, Lewandowski or Messi?

When is the Ballon d'Or Announced?

The 2021 Ballon d’Or ceremony is this Monday, November 29 at 2:30 PM ET

Where will the 2021 Ballon d’Or ceremony take place?

Paris, France

How to watch the Ballon d’Or ceremony?

The event will be streamed live on L’Equipe’s YouTube channel from 2:30 pm ET on Monday.

Eurosport will also be streaming the ceremony on their website and the Eurosport app from 2:30 pm, and it is set to run until around 4:00 pm ET.

2021 Ballon d'Or Top 30 Nominees

Gianluigi Donnarumma (Paris Saint-Germain), Giorgio Chiellini (Juventus), Leonardo Bonucci (Juventus), César Azpilicueta (Chelsea), Rúben Días (Manchester City), Nicolò Barella (Inter Milan), Kevin De Bruyne (Manchester City), Jorginho (Chelsea), Luka Modric (Real Madrid), Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United), Phil Foden (Manchester City), Cristiano Ronaldo (Manchester United), Erling Haaland (Borussia Dortmund), Harry Kane (Tottenham), N’Golo Kanté (Chelsea), Simon Kjaer (AC Milan), Robert Lewandowski (Bayern Munich), Romelu Lukaku (Chelsea), Riyad Mahrez (Manchester City), Lautaro Martinez (Inter Milan), Karim Benzema (Real Madrid), Kylian Mbappé (Paris Saint-Germain), Lionel Messi (Paris Saint-Germain), Gerard Moreno (Villarreal), Mason Mount (Chelsea), Neymar (Paris Saint-Germain), Pedri (Barcelona), Mohamed Salah (Liverpool), Raheem Sterling (Manchester City), Luis Suárez (Atlético Madrid).

How is a winner chosen for the Ballon d'Or?

A panel of voters is selected, they then choose their top five players from the list of 30. The list of 30 players is established by a select group of 180 journalists from around the world to determine the top 30 candidates for the award.

The top-ranking player from each journalist's selection will receive six points, with the second-ranking player earning four points, then three, two, and one going down from the rest of their top five picks. After each member on the panel has selected their top five players for the Ballon d'Or award, the total points are calculated and added, and the player to receive the most number of points will be awarded the honor of Ballon d'Or.

On Monday, November 29 in Paris, the 2021 Ballon d'Or winner will be announced. So we are just three days away from the winner being announced and we've taken a look at the latest rankings based on the latest Ballon d'Or odds. With just one weekend to go, it has become just a two-man race.

Click Here For The Latest Ballon d'Or Odds

1. Lionel Messi (-300)

Messi has seen his odds fluctuate dramatically over the last month and that is due for the most part because of the play by his running mate for the award Robert Lewandowski. Messi was behind Lewandwoski until just this week. Three weeks ago Messi to win was priced +125 behind only the Polish striker. Messi, who left Barcelona for Paris Saint-Germain this summer, has a record six career Ballon d'Or trophies and is the most recent winner in 2019. Messi has struggled so far with his new club this season to get results but he still shows flashes of why he is arguably the best soccer player in the world. Unfortunately I'm not in Messi's corner to take home the award on Monday.

2. Robert Lewandowski (+125)

Lewandowski has seen his odds cut tremendously over the last month. Just one month ago he was +500 trailing Lionel Messi. He leapfrogged Messi as the favorite to win the Ballon d'Or a week ago but now sits right on his heels. When he was priced at +500, I stated he would be my pick based on his consistent play in 2020-2021. Well a month later and here we are, Lewandowski is side by side with Messi. The Polish striker has been nothing short of phenomenal the last few years. Many will argue he was robbed of the award in 2020 when the Covid-19 pandemic canceled the award. In the 2019-20 campaign, he netted a staggering 55 goals in 47 games. He continues to be a machine in front of goal so far this season for Bayern Munich. He's put together some amazing performances in Champions League netting a hat trick in Bayerns midweek match early in November. He has 9 goals in 5 Champions League games this season and 14 goals in 12 Bundesliga games so far. The man is the best in form striker in the world and is showing no signs of slowing down. Voters may also agree with me that he was robbed of the award in 2020 and he deserves recognition for his outstanding play. In early October Lewandowski said, "It would be a huge honor and distinction to win the Ballon d'Or. I am proud and happy to be on the list. I hope there will be no big politics involved and that the votes will be cast based on the performances of the players on the pitch." I completely agree with Lewandowski and he is my pick as he is the most deserving player in the world right now to usurp Lionel Messi from winning his 7th Ballon d'Or

3. Karim Benzema (+2200)

Benzema has had a great start to the 2021-22 season with Real Madrid, scoring 10 goals and providing 7 assists in 12 LaLiga matches, more than any other player. He has scored 5 goals in 5 Champions League games so far as well. He finished the 2020-2021 season with 30 goals but Real Madrid finished the year with no trophies. He played for the French national team for the first time in six years and helped them to a UEFA Nations League title. He continues to keep up his strong form in European soccer as he netted another goal this past week in Real Madrid's 3-0 Champions League victory. He is missing the trophies but his individual performance has been one of the best in the world over the last year.

4. Mohamed Salah (+2500)

Salah bursted up the odds grid over the last month and a half. Just one month ago he was priced at +1200 to win the Ballon d'Or. He even saw his odds reach +900 at some books. Now with a few days to go it's a two-man race for the award between Messi and Lewandowski. The Egyptian striker has made a strong case as we move deeper into the season but there's not enough time for him to make up the ground lost. He continues to score unbelievable goals every weekend for Liverpool. Salah is making a case for being the best player in the world and will make a lot of money with his new contract coming up but he won't be winning the Ballon d'Or trophy in 2021.

5. Jorginho (+2800)

Jorghino has been aomg the top five in the Ballon d'Or rankings since his amazing summer but the play of Mo Salah has pushed him down the list. It might not be a popular decision if he places in the top three, but voters put more stock in trophies than statistics sometimes just as they do in other sports. The Italian star midfielder was named the UEFA Men's Player of the Year in August. He was a key cog in Italy lifting the Euro 2020 trophy this past summer. He was also a key part of Chelsea winning the Champions League and will continue to be key to Chelsea's success as they look to retain their Champions League crown and challenge for the Premier League title. Chelsea currently sits atop of the Premier League table and he is a key reason for that. His odds have lengthened tremendously moving from +650 to +2800 over the last month as we approach the award ceremony.

Click Here For The Latest Ballon d'Or Odds


Tom Viera is an experienced betting and fantasy sports writer. Tom brings a vast knowledge of all things NFL, NBA, MLB and soccer to the OddsChecker stable of handicappers.


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