France vs. Poland Round of 16 World Cup Odds: Sportsbooks Give France 78% Chance to Defeat Poland

After winning their group, France has advanced to the knockout stage and is now slated to take on Poland. Sportsbooks see the matchup as a one-sided affair heavily favoring the French. Here are the latest France vs. Poland Round of 16 odds.
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France vs. Poland Round of 16 World Cup Odds: Sportsbooks Give France 78% Chance to Defeat Poland

Can the reigning champions do it again? After winning their group, France has advanced to the knockout stage of the World Cup and is now slated to take on Poland. Sportsbooks see the matchup as a one-sided affair heavily favoring the French.

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France vs. Poland Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • When: Sunday, December 4, 2022
  • Time: 10:00 a.m. ET
  • Where to Watch: FS1, Peacock TV

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France vs. Poland Round of 16 World Cup Odds

France is given -350 odds, or an implied 77.8% chance of victory. Meanwhile, Poland is given +1200 odds, or an implied 7.7% chance to reach the quarterfinals for the first time since placing third in 1982. A draw, leading to penalties, is given +500 odds or an implied 16.7% chance of happening.

Now, France was just subject to an upset. They lost to Tunisia despite being -255 favorites. That was with mostly backups, but it bears noting. Poland doesn’t have any comparable upsets though. Their only win at the World Cup has come against Saudi Arabia, and they were favored to win that one. To find Poland’s last upset victory of any kind, you have to go back to March when they defeated Sweden in qualifying. Even then, Poland was +145.

Poland has had scoring issues for a while now. They’ve only scored 2 goals in the group stages. Since June, Poland has played 10 games, scored just 9 goals, and held goalless four times. France has no such deficiency. They scored 6 times in their first two World Cup games before turning the third game over to their bench. Given the mismatch on paper, it’s surprising that France isn’t an even bigger favorite. Of the four matches currently slated, France is the second biggest favorite, behind only Argentina, -525.

France vs. Poland World Cup Odds

ResultOddsImplied chance
France wins-35077.8%
Draw+50016.7%
Poland wins+12007.7%
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