England vs. Senegal Prediction, Odds, and Lineups for the 2022 World Cup

England vs. Senegal prediction, odds, and projected lineups for their upcoming Round of 16 showdown. This game features the Group B winner taking on the Group A runner-up for a spot in the World Cup quarterfinals. Find out everything you need to know here.
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England vs. Senegal Prediction, Odds, and Lineups for the 2022 World Cup

England vs. Senegal Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: Sunday, December 4, 2022
  • Start Time: 2:00 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: FS1

Click here for England vs. Senegal odds

This weekend will feature the first games of the World Cup's Round of 16, starting on Saturday morning with the United States taking on the Netherlands. Group B's other qualified team, England, will continue the action on Sunday, taking on Senegal for a chance to face the winner of France vs. Poland in the quarterfinals.

England vs. Senegal Odds

ResultsOddsImplied Chance
England to Win -190 66%
Draw+28026%
Senegal to Win+65013%

Click here for England vs. Senegal odds

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England vs. Senegal World Cup Odds

England World Cup Odds

The sportsbooks have England as the fifth most likely team to win it all — their current World Cup odds are +850 at FanDuel. This seems about right, given that a likely quarterfinal against France awaits them. It's a tough path, but if England can get past France, they have the talent to win the tournament.

Senegal World Cup Odds

Senegal sits at the other end of the spectrum — they have the fourth-longest odds to win the World Cup at +12000. This is not worth a bet, given the fact that Senegal is simply outclassed by the vast majority of teams remaining.

England vs. Senegal Odds and Betting Data

England currently stands as the heavy favorite for this matchup, which should come as a surprise to no one. They are -190 to win the game outright (i.e. in 90 minutes plus stoppage time), while Senegal is +650 to emerge as victors. FanDuel places the odds of a "draw" (meaning the game would go to extra time, given that this is a knockout match) at +280.

In other words, this means that the market views England as more likely than not to win this game in the first 90 minutes. There is an outside chance that the game goes to extra time; it is exceedingly unlikely that Senegal will win outright.

The majority of the betting public has been willing to lay the heavy price with England. At the time of this writing, 79% of the bets have come in on England to secure the victory without needing extra time. 65% of the handle is on this side — Senegal has little support from the betting market.

OddsResults% of Bets
-190 England to Win%40
+280Draw7%
+650Senegal to Win52%

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England vs. Senegal Prediction

While I do think that England deserves to be heavily favored in this spot, I don't like laying -190 for them to win in 90 minutes. They opened the tournament with a convincing win over Iran but failed to generate any sustained pressure against the United States. They then ended their group stage with a solid win against Wales, buoyed by a stellar performance from Marcus Rashford. That dominance may have had more to do with Wales' disappointing effort than England's strong play, although both played a role.

Manager Gareth Southgate's tendency to emphasize ball control, slow build-up play and minimal creativity on the offensive side can lend itself to issues in games against competent opposition. Sunday's matchup against Senegal could be one where England could have a tougher time than they anticipate. Southgate favors Mason Mount over Phil Foden, an erroneous choice that kneecapped England against the United States and will probably do so again against Senegal. England may need a set-piece goal to break through against Senegal, or scoring could be difficult to come by.

Senegal hung around with the Netherlands until Cody Gakpo finally broke through in the 84th minute, and they then rattled off two quality wins against Qatar and Ecuador. While Senegal likely lacks the requisite talent to win this game altogether — England's team is among the most talented in the tournament — I think there is a good chance they drag this game into extra time.

England vs. Senegal Prediction: Draw (+290) Bet $100 to collect $390. Unibet has the best odds, click here

England vs. Senegal Projected Lineups

England Projected Lineup: Pickford (GK), Trippier, Shaw, Maguire, Stones, Bellingham, Rice, Mount, Sterling, Rashford, Kane

Senegal Projected Lineup: Mendy (GK), Sabaly, Jakobs, Koulibaly, Diallo, Gueye, Kouyate, Cisse, Diatta, Sarr, Dia

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Jason Yamaguchi is an avid New York sports fan. He has a proven record of providing +EV bets by combining traditional handicapping tactics with advanced statistics. You can follow him on Twitter @TopMoneyPicks to view all of his bets, including NFL, NHL, and MLB picks.

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