Oscars Odds: 86.4% of bets placed on Chloe Zhao to win Best Director

Oddsmakers and bettors expect Zhao to take home the Oscar for Best Director
Kyle Newman
Wed, April 21, 11:12 AM EDT

Oscars Odds: 86.4% of bets placed on Chloe Zhao to win Best Director

Chloe Zhao, the director of the film Nomadland, is one of the biggest favorites on the Oscars market. Her -2500 odds give her an implied 96.2% implied chance to win the award. That’s as close to a lock as there is on the betting market.

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Bettors tend to agree. Over the last 7 days, a whopping 86.4% of bets have been placed on Zhao to win Best Director. Her next closest competitor is David Fincher who is given +1000 odds, or an implied 9.1% chance to win the award. However, only 4.6% of bets have been placed on Fincher to win the award.

Chloe Zhao is expected to take home her first Oscar after winning Best Director for Nomadland at the Golden Globes and British Academy Film Awards. Any other result would be a major shock. The odds market doesn’t see any strong competition for her among the nominees. It seems safe to say that Chloe Zhao is a lock to take home Best Director. That said, the Academy has surprised us before.

Oscars Best Director Odds

Director

Odds

Implied chance

Chloe Zhao

-2500

96.2%

David Fincher

+1000

9.1%

Lee Isaac Chung

+1700

5.6%

Emerald Fennell

+2000

4.8%

Thomas Vinterberg

+2500

3.8%

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