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Oscars Odds: Will Smith Given 89% Chance to Win Best Actor At The Oscars

Will Smith has been nominated for Best Actor for the third time in his career for his role in King Richard. After falling short his first two times, oddsmakers believe this is Will Smith's year.
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Oscars Odds: Will Smith Given 89% Chance to Win Best Actor At The Oscars

Surprisingly, Will Smith has never won an Oscar before. That very well can change this Sunday due to his impressive performance as Richard Williams in King Richard, the father of Serena and Venus Williams. Will Smith is the favorite by oddsmakers to be named Best Actor at -800 odds at DraftKings. That is an implied 88.9% chance Will Smith takes home his first ever Academy Award.

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Will Smith won the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Drama Motion Picture. That usually locks up the Academy Award. Since 2010, only twice have the Golden Globes and the Oscars not had the same winner. In 2011 when Jean Dujardin won the Oscar and in 2020, when Anthony Hopkins won it. Therefore, oddsmakers have reason to be bullish on Smith’s chances.

Will Smith has been nominated for Best Actor twice already in his career. In 2002 he lost out to Denzel Washington and in 2007 he lost to Forest Whitaker. Is 2022 finally the year that he can take home the most prized individual award in the industry? Bettors believe this is the year as he has received 42% of bets to be named Best Actor over the last week.

His biggest competition to win Best Actor is Benedict Cumberbatch for his role in The Power of the Dog. Cumberbatch has been given +550 odds to win the award. The +550 is an implied 15.4% chance Cumberbatch is named Best Actor. The Power of the Dog is currently favored by oddsmakers to win Best Picture so Cumberbatch should not be counted out. Cumberbatch has received 26% of bets over the last week.

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Oscars Best Actor Odds

OddsActorImplied Chance
-800Will Smith88.9%
+550Benedict Cumberbatch15.4%
+1100Andrew Garfield8.3%
+2500Denzel Washington3.8%
+4000Javier Bardem2.4%

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How to place a bet on the 2022 Oscars

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Tom Viera is an experienced betting and fantasy sports writer. Tom brings a vast knowledge of all things NFL, NBA, MLB and soccer to the OddsChecker stable of handicappers.

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