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Will Kim Wexler Survive This Season? Oddsmakers Say It’s Complicated

Ever since show creator Vince Gilligan called Kim Wexler’s character arc an “impending tragedy” fans have wondered when she’s going to die. Oddsmakers have spent a lot of time wondering how or when it could happen this season.
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Will Kim Wexler Survive This Season? Oddsmakers Say It’s Complicated

Since show creator Vince Gilligan called Kim Wexler’s character arc an “impending tragedy,” fans have wondered when she will die. Oddsmakers have spent a lot of time wondering how or when it could happen this season.

Will Kim Wexler die this season?

Oddsmakers don’t believe that Kim’s death will be her next move. Instead, they believe she’ll find a way to escape Albuquerque alive. With oddsmakers giving her -220 odds, or an implied 68.8% chance to find a way to survive. Compared to +155 odds, an implied 39.2% chance that she’ll die.

Of course, this market is just what her next move will be, not how the season will end for her.

What happens next?OddsImplied chance
Kim Wexler escapes Albuquerque-22068.8%
Kim Wexler dies+15539.2%

If Kim Wexler dies, who’s going to kill her?

Oddsmakers have one prime suspect here. Lalo Salamanca is given -115 odds, or an implied 53.5% chance to be the one who kills Kim. However, oddsmakers are open to the idea that anyone could do it.

The Salamanca Twins are +300, or an implied 25% chance. Gus Fring is +350, or an implied 23.5% chance. Even Mike Ehrmantraut is on the list at +1000, or an implied 9.1% chance. However, if oddsmakers believe it’s not Lalo, then it will be someone we don’t even know yet, as the field is given +200 odds or an implied 33.3% chance.

KillerOddsImplied chance
Lalo Salamanca-11553.5%
The Field+20033.3%
Salamanca Twins+30025%
Gus Fring+35023.5%
Victor+60014.3%
Tyrus+90010%
Don Eladio+10009.1%
Mike Ehrmantraut+10009.1%

When will Kim Wexler die?

If Kim is going to die this season, oddsmakers heavily expect it to be towards the end. Episodes 11-13 are given -220 odds, or an implied 68.8% chance to show Kim’s death. Meanwhile, episodes 8-10 are given +155 odds, or an implied 39.2% chance.

Could the plan be for Kim Wexler to escape in the early episodes only to return and die by the season finale? Oddsmakers are certainly prepared for that to be the case.

EpisodesOddsImplied chance
11-13-22068.8%
8-10+15539.2%

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A PR Associate at @OddsCheckerUS. Available for Podcasts, Radio, and TV. Quoted in Forbes, Chicago Tribune, Sports Illustrated, and more.

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