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Complete WWE SummerSlam Odds and Betting Preview: Pat McAfee vs Happy Corbin, Logan Paul vs The Miz, and More

SummerSlam is always one of the biggest events of the year. However, it’s a special one this year. It marks the first WWE PPV without Vince McMahon in charge of creative in decades. So what do sportsbooks think that means?
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Complete WWE SummerSlam Odds and Betting Preview: Pat McAfee vs Happy Corbin, Logan Paul vs The Miz, and More

SummerSlam is always one of the biggest events of the year. However, it’s a special one this year. It marks the first WWE PPV without Vince McMahon in charge of creative in decades. So what do sportsbooks think that means? Well, they think it’s going to make the biggest party of the summer predictable.

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Universal Championship Match

Roman Reigns hasn’t lost a televised match since 2019. Sportsbooks don’t expect that to change at SummerSlam.The Head of the Table is given -286 odds to retain his title, or an implied 74.1% chance. Meanwhile, Lesnar is given +200 odds, or an implied 33.3% chance to pull off the upset.

The wildcard here is Theory who holds the Money in the Bank briefcase. Sportsbooks don’t currently have odds on whether or not he’ll cash in, but that doesn’t mean he won’t.

Roman Reigns vs Brock Lesnar Odds

OddsWrestlerImplied chance
-286Roman Reigns74.1%
+200Brock Lesnar33.3%

Pat McAfee vs. Happy Corbin

Pat McAfee doesn’t win often. He’s just 1-3 in his career as a wrestler. However, sportsbooks are backing him to win this one. Like Reigns, McAfee is given -286 odds, or an implied 74.1% chance to get the victory.

Corbin is another wrestler who often loses. In 2022, He’s just 4-13 in televised matches. Sportsbooks like his chances a little better than Lesnar’s though. Corbin is given +190 odds, or an implied 34.5% chance to pull off the upset in this one.

Pat McAfee vs. Happy Corbin Odds

OddsWrestlerImplied chance
-286Pat McAfee74.1%
+190Happy Corbin34.5%

United State Championship Match

This is a tough one for the new creative team. On the one hand, Theory can’t afford a loss because they’re trying to build him up to be a real threat to Reigns. On the other, they don’t want him to hold the US title and potentially a World title.

So, sportsbooks believe that Theory is going to take the loss here. He’s given +250 odds, or an implied 28.6% chance to get the US title back. Meanwhile, Bobby Lashley is given -400 odds or an implied 80% chance to retain his title.

Bobby Lashley vs Theory Odds

OddsWrestlerImplied chance
-400Bobby Lashley80%
+250Theory28.6%

Tag Team Championship Match

Sportsbooks are caught in between on this one. The Street Profits are given the second best odds of any underdog in a title match right now at +180, or an implied 35.7% chance. However, the Uso’s are given odds nearly as good as Reigns and McAfee at -275, or an implied 73.3% chance.

It’s possible that the Street Profits come out victorious here, but it’s more likely that they take a loss that leads to the team breaking up.

The USOS vs The Street Odds

OddsTag TeamImplied chance
-275The Usos73.3%
+180Street Profits35.7%

THESmackDown Women’s Championship Match

Few have been as dominant in a WWE ring as Ronda Rousey. In her WWE career, she’s 27-4-1. One of those losses was Liv Morgan cashing in her Money in the Bank briefcase.

So one would think that Rousey would be the favorite to get her title back. That’s not the case though, as sportsbooks give Rousey +155 odds, or an implied39.2% chance to win the SmackDown Women’s title. Meanwhile, Morgan is given -225 odds, or an implied 69.2% chance to retain her title and continue her first career title reign.

Liv Morgan vs Ronda Rousey Odds

OddsWrestlerImplied chance
-225Liv Morgan69.2%
+155Ronda Rousey39.2%

Raw Women’s Championship Match

Sportsbooks believe this is the most predictable title match on the card. Bianca Belair has been a dominant champion and she’s given -400 odds, or an 80% chance to continue her reign. Meanwhile, Becky Lynch is given +250 odds, or an implied 28.6% chance to finally get one over on Belair after losing every televised match she’s had against Belair since WrestleMania.

Bianca Belair vs Becky Lynch Odds

WrestlerOddsImplied chance
Bianca Belair-40080%
Becky Lynch+25028.6%

Logan Paul vs. The Miz

WWE rarely brings in celebrities to lose matches. This is no exception. Paul is given absurd -900 odds, or an implied 90% chance to win this match. By far the best odds given to anyone on the card.

Meanwhile, the Mix is given +425 odds, or just a 19% chance to pull off the upset. The worst odds on the card.

Logan Paul vs. The Miz Odds

WrestlerOddsImplied chance
Logan Paul-90090%
The Miz+42519%

The Mysterios vs. The Judgment Day

This weekend’s match will celebrate 20 years of Rey Mysterio inside a WWE ring. Like with any major milestone in the WWE, it’s expected to be rung in with a loss.

Sportsbooks give The Mysterios +140 odds, or an implied 41.7% chance to get the win. Those are the best odds for an underdog on the card. Meanwhile, The Judgement Day is given -200 odds, or an implied 66.7% chance to come out victorious.

The Mysterios vs. The Judgment Day Odds

OddsTag TeamImplied chance
-200The Judgement Day66.7%
+140The Mysterios41.7%

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A PR Associate at @OddsCheckerUS. Available for Podcasts, Radio, and TV. Quoted in Forbes, Chicago Tribune, Sports Illustrated, and more.

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