The Watt Report
With Trump’s visit to the UK and Ireland drawing to a close – he flies back to Washington tomorrow – the POTUS will soon have what has been a highly publicised trip behind him. So how did it go, and how have the talking points affected the odds?
Well, Trump himself appears highly positive about the state visit – his lack of gaffes will have kept the blood pressure of his aides relatively low – and it seems that the oddsmakers agree.
Trump’s best price for re-election is now +100 across the majority of books; the shortest he has been at ANY point. A similar trend can be seen in his bid to win the Republican ticket, where his -800 price is again the zenith – or nadir, depending on how you see it – of that market to date.
Joe Biden's tweet is very timely, with climate change and the opposing views of Trump and Prince Charles dominating the agenda this week.
The former VP remains in contention as the Donald’s closest competitor with a price of +450, but has drifted slightly from his lowest odds of +400, posted shortly before Trump took off for London.
The race for the Democrat ticket is a lot more interesting. Biden shot to the front of the pack after officially announcing his campaign at the end of May, but Bernie has since closed the gap – they sit at +200 and +350 respectively.
Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg are the only other serious contenders at +600 and +800, but their odds are only going one way at the moment.
Trump’s only real foot-in-mouth situation has arisen from his comments on the post-Brexit Irish border, which he has likened to the US/Mexico situation. However, Trump has exhibited his trademark lack of ‘flappability’ to remain the clear frontrunner for the 2020 Presidential Election.
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