Trump Impeachment Chances Soar, But So Do His Chances Of Staying In Office
Oddsmakers believe that the president will almost certainly be impeached – just not successfully.
The odds of Donald Trump to face an impeachment trial in the Senate were cut to -3300 (1/33) this morning – the shortest they have ever been.
Put simply, this means that oddsmakers believe there is a 97% chance of the House voting for the president to take the stand.
However, the very same oddsmakers today lengthened the odds of Trump leaving office during his first term to +400 (4/1), which has an implied percentage of just 20%.
The books, therefore, are stating their belief that whilst it almost certain that Trump will become the second president in just over twenty years to be impeached after Bill Clinton, the outcome will be the same as it was in 1998; exoneration.
"Oddschecker spokesperson Pete Watt: “With the House controlled by the Democrats and the Senate controlled by the Republicans, it is perhaps not surprising to see these two outcomes at odds with each other.”
"Moreover, Trump's chances of being re-elected for a second term have just risen to 50% - the highest it's been for nearly four months and just shy of its zenith of 54%"
“However, American politics – and indeed world politics – has thrown up plenty of surprises in the last decade or so and, with the Ukraine hearings raging on, could Republicans begin to turn on the President?”
By Pete Watt