2020 US Vice Presidential Pick Odds: Kamala Harris Leading The Pack

Kamala Harris leads the race to be Joe Biden's VP but there is still road to run
Samuel Farley
Tue, August 4, 6:02 AM EDT

2020 US Vice Presidential Pick Betting Odds

Joe Biden has delayed the announcement of his running partner until August 10 and the shortlist of potential running mates is a long, and very impressive list.

Senator Kamala Harris is the favorite according to Britsh bookmakers, with her price varying between a best price of -137 and shortest of -200.

Susan Rice, former National Security Advisor, is nipping at Harris' heels at +425, with Senator Tammy Duckworth currently third in the running at +900. 

Behind them still are further names including Senator Elizabeth Warren at +1600 and Representative Karen Bass at +1800.

Candidate

Odds (UK Format)

Odds (US Format)

Implied Percentage Chance

Kamala Harris

8/11

-137

57.9%

Susan Rice

17/4

+425

19%

Tammy Duckworth

9/1

+900

10%

Elizabeth Warren

16/1

+1600

5.9%

Karen Bass

18/1

+1800

5.3%

Val Demings

25/1

+2500

3.8%

Michelle Obama

28/1

+2800

3.4%

Gretchen Whitmer

40/1

+4000

2.4%

Keisha Lance Bottoms

70/1

+7000

1.4%

Kamala Harris' 2020 Democrat VP Nominee Odds

Kamala Harris has long been favorite to be the Democrat Nominee and has been ahead of her competition for a long time, although her odds have shortened dramatically in the past 1-2 weeks since a photograph of Joe Biden's notes appeared, with the Senators name on them.

Just 10 days ago she was as long as +175, giving an implied probability of 36.4%, which has nearly doubled to today's level of 57.9% probability.

The graph below compares Kamala Harris' odds in relation to her rivals for the Democrat VP Nomination.

Susan Rice's 2020 Democrat VP Nominee Odds

As seen in the graph above, Susan Rice is the second most likely to win the Democrat VP Nomination. She has only recently climbed the betting, beginning her ascent at the start of June, having been an afterthought before that.

The former National Security Advisor is a big rival to Harris now as her best odds of +425 indicate. She is one to keep an eye on in the coming days as Joe Biden's announcement draws closer.

2020 Democrat VP Nominee Betting Breakdown

You can clearly see that Kamala Harris has always been favorite with both the books and bettors. What is very interesting is that bettors are seeing a late surge from Karen Bass, who seems to have become a major player in the betting.

Michelle Obama continues to be a popular choice with bettors, perhaps more of hope than insight, given the former First Lady has huge odds to overcome.

Candidate

% of bets accounted (2020)

% of money wagered (2020)

 

% of bets accounted (August)

% of money wagered (August)

Kamala Harris

29.75%

33.65%

 

35.12%

32.66%

Susan Rice

9.34%

10.17%

 

15.41%

6.32%

Tammy Duckworth

5.07%

5.26%

 

6.08%

15.62%

Elizabeth Warren

7.1%

7.57%

 

6.08%

0.12%

Karen Bass

1.65%

3.9%

 

9.43%

17.35%

Val Demings

5.43%

1.32%

 

3.98%

0.29%

Michelle Obama

8.91%

8.37%

 

10.06%

23.14%

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Michelle Obama's 2020 Democrat VP Nominee Odds

There has been speculation over the last few months surrounding Michelle Obama becoming Joe Biden's running mate. At one point in early May, Obama's odds suggested she had a 10% chance of becoming the Democratic VP. However, the betting market now indicates she only has a 3.4% chance. 

As you can see above that hasn't stopped backing the former First Lady and Spotify podcast host to become the Democrat VP Nominee. The popular Obama accounting for 8.37% of bets for Democrat VP Nominee in 2020, which makes her the third most wagered candidate behind Kamala Harris and Susan Rice, who has overtaken her in the past fortnight. 

Who will win the 2020 US Election?

We're still unsure of his running mate but current betting odds suggest that Joe Biden is the most likely to win the election, with an implied probability of 61.9%. Current POTUS Donald Trump has only a 36.4% chance of winning the election according to current odds. You can find out more about that here.

2020 US Election Betting

Online sports betting is legal in various states in the United States, however, you can’t legally bet on the US Election. Therefore all of our data above is based on UK betting trends. Even though, it’s the US election, it will be one of the biggest betting events not only in the UK but globally.

Find our which US bookmakers operate in your state

As mentioned, US residents can’t legally bet on the US Presidential Election, they can still play Draftkings $100,000 fantasy game, and try and predict the outcomes of various events to win the top prize. Click the link below to find out more.

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