2020 Presidential Election Odds: 86% Chance Joe Biden Beats Donald Trump In Final Debate

Sportsbooks believe Joe Biden will cruise to victory in the final election debate in Nashville
Sam Eaton
Tue, October 20, 10:44 PM EDT

2020 Presidential Election Debate Odds: 86% Chance Joe Biden Beats Donald Trump In Final Debate

Thursday night's final Presidential election debate could have huge consequences on the outcome of the 2020 US election. With just under two weeks to go until the big day, this will be one of the final times either Donald Trump or Joe Biden has the chance to get one over on their counter-part. 

Joe Biden and Donald Trump were set to go head-to-head in three debates, but Thursday's event will be the second and final meeting between the pair before election day. The previous debate was set to be a virtual affair due to Donald Trump's coronavirus scare, however, the current POTUS wasn't too keen on that arrangement. 

The final election debate will be held in Nashville on Thursday (22nd October) night and will be hosted by NBC's Kristen Welker. The debate will consist of six fifteen-minute sections on different topics chosen by Welker. To void the embarrassment caused by the first election debate, both Donald Trump's and Joe Biden's microphones will be muted during the oppositions two-minute segment. Don't worry though, there will be plenty of time for arguing and shouting over each other once the two minutes is up!

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2020 Presidential Election Debate Odds

Online sportsbooks have made Joe Biden the overwhelming favorite heading into the Nashville debate. Bookmakers currently have Biden's odds set at -600 to win the debate, which implies he's got a 85.7% chance of doing so. 

Joe Biden's odds before the first election debate were -275 (73.3% chance), which implies bookmakers think the muted microphones could be a big advantage to the Democrats.

Donald Trump's odds for the final election debate are +350, which implies he's got a 22.2% chance of winning the Nashville showdown. His odds to win the first election debate were +200 (33.3% chance). 

Final US Election Debate Odds

  US Odds UK Odds Implied % Chance
Donald Trump +350 7/2 22.2%
Joe Biden -600 1/6 85.7%

Betting is settled on CNN snap poll

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2020 Presidential Election Betting: Prop Markets

Sportsbooks aren't just offering odds on who will win the final debate, they are also advertising an array of prop markets. 

One bookmaker currently has odds of +800 (8/1) that either of the candidates says the words "Greatest President Ever". 

The current odds of either Joe Biden or Donald Trump mentioning "Dr Fauci" are -500 (1/5), which seems like a no-brainer given recent comments.

Dwayne Johnson is among the leading candidates for the 2024 US election, he's +1600 (16/1) to get a mention in the final debate. 

Another betting option we like is Kim Jong Un being mentioned, the North Korean leader is currently +300 (3/1) to come up in the debate. 

We've picked out our favorite buzzwords to be mentioned and the odds below:

Buzzword US Odds (UK Odds) Implied % Chance
Dr Fauci -500 (1/5) 83.3%
Fake News -350 (2/7) 77.8%
Sleepy Joe -200 (1/2) 66.7%
China Virus -150 (4/6) 60%
Twitter  +110 (11/10) 47.6%
Superman +200 (2/1) 33.3%
Q Anon +200 (2/1) 33.3%
Crooked Hillary +275 (11/4) 26.7%
Kim Jong Un +300 (3/1) 25%
Senior Moment +400 (4/1) 20%
Beautiful Wall +800 (8/1) 11.1%
Greatest President Ever +800 (8/1) 11.1%
Boris +1200 (12/1) 7.7%
Dwayne Johnson +1600 (16/1) 5.9%

2020 Presidential Election Odds

As mentioned, Thursday night's debate will likely have big implications on the 2020 US election betting market, and we are likely to see one candidate's odds move considerably on the night. The bookmakers currently have Joe Biden as the overwhelming favorite to win the 2020 US election, his odds are -170 (10/17), which implies he's got a 63% chance of becoming the next POTUS. 

Donald Trump's election odds are currently +150 (6/4), which implies he's only got a 40% chance of winning the election. 

2020 US Election Odds

  UK Odds US Odds Implied % Chance
Joe Biden 10/17 -170 63%
Donald Trump 6/4 +150 40%

Betting on politics isn't legal in the US therefore we take all of our data from our UK site, who work with all the major betting firms in the UK. The 2020 election is a truly global event, one of our UK partners has already seen over $194 million wagered on the election. OddsChecker's data is used by some of the biggest publications in the world, including BC News, Fox News, Washington Examiner plus many more.

 

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