2020 US Presidential Election Odds: 36% Chance Presidential Winner Isn't Declared Before 9th December

It is the most likely outcome on the betting market
Pete Watt
Mon, November 2, 5:13 PM

British bookmakers are taking bets on what date the winner of the 2020 US Presidential Election will be declared, and the selection with the shortest odds is 9th November – or later.

When will the election winner be declared?

The odds of that are currently +178, which carries an implied probability of 35.97%. This puts it slightly likelier than the next most popular option, which is 4th November, the day after the election. The odds for that are +186, or 34.97% chance.

The third likeliest outcome, according to the odds, is for the winner to actual be declared on the day of the election, November 3rd. However, the odds of this are slightly longer at +500, implying just a 16.67% chance.

The fourth and longest-priced selection, interestingly, is anytime between 5th-8th November; odds of +600 which are demonstrative of a 14.29% chance.

OddsChecker spokesperson Pete Watt: “It’s interesting to see that the market prices suggest that oddsmakers believe that the result will be clear either very quickly in the form of the following day, or at least a week down the line.”

“The market will be based on when the Associated Press declare that one the candidates has been elected President of the United States as the winner of the election, and given that concession is looking unlikely, it’s not surprising to see such short odds on a lengthy wait.”

2020 Presidential Election Odds

Click HERE to read about the latest betting data for the election. Below are the current odds on the election.

 

US Odds

UK Odds

Implied % Chance

Donald Trump

+188

15/8

34.8%

Joe Biden

-188

8/15

65.2%

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