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2024 Election Odds: Donald Trump's Odds Cut To Win 2024 Election

The former President of the United States has had his odds cut to win the 2024 Presidential Election
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2024 Election Odds: Donald Trump's Odds Cut To Win 2024 Election

Donald Trump was acquitted in his impeachment trial this past weekend. Seven Senate Republicans voted to convict Trump but that wasn't enough to see the 45th President get impeached for incitement of insurrection.

Donald Trump celebrated the verdict and Senator Lindsey Graham said that "the Trump movement is alive and well." Bookmakers cut the price of Trump getting reelection in 2024 from 11/1 to 9/1. It could still be tricky for Trump given that he is still without the social media mouthpiece which helped fuel his surprise victory in 2016. If the Trump era has taught us anything it's that you never say never.

2024 Election Betting

As it stands, vice President Kamala Harris is officially the favorite to become POTUS during the next election cycle. Britsh bookmakers list Harris’ odds at +400, odds, implying a 20% chance she is the next resident of the White House.

Joe Biden, is second favorite at +500, with the current President 16/7% likely to have a second term. As mentioned above, Donald Trump is the third favorite at +1100. He's closely followed by Mike Pence, his former VP, is at +1850, despite falling out with Trump.

Elsewhere Nikki Haley continues to be near the summit of the list, but interestingly it is Pete Buttigieg who is shortening, having just become the sixth favorite to win the election in 2024. We also see another continuation of the Trump dynasty, with Ivanka a 50/1 shot.

CandidateUK OddsUS OddsImplied Probability
Kamala Harris4/1+40020%
Joe Biden5/1+50016.7%
Donald Trump9/1+90010%
Mike Pence37/2+18505.1%
Nikki Haley20/1+20004.8%
Pete Buttigieg40/1+40002.4%
Ted Cruz50/1+50002%
Ivanka Trump50/1+50002%
Tucker Carlson50/1+50002%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez50/1+50002%

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2024 Republican Presidential Nominee Odds

Despite being cleared of inciteing an insurrection we've seen that Donald Trump's odds have slipped from +440 to +480 that he is the Republican nominee for the 2024 election.

Mitch McConnell has a target of winning back the Senate majority in 2022 and his comment that "some of them may be people the former president likes. Some of them may not be. The only thing I care about is electability,” implies that the Senate Minority Leader is looking at a GOP that may, or may not be led by Trump.

Trump is still heavy favorite to be the Republican candidate however, with a chance of 17.2% that he'll get the nomination, well ahead of his nearest rival Nikki Haley who only has a 11.1% chance.

CandidateUK OddsUS OddsImplied Probability
Donald Trump24/5+48017.2%
Nikki Haley8/1+80011.1%
Mike Pence9/1+90010%
Ron DeSantis16/1+16005.9%
Ted Cruz20/1+20004.8%
Ivanka Trump20/1+20004.8%
Tom Cotton20/1+20004.8%
Dan Crenshaw33/1+33002.9%
Josh Hawley40/1+40002.4%
Mike Pompeo40/1+40002.4%

A lifelong football and basketball fan with years of experience in the sports gambling industry, Sam is known for his incredibly deep knowledge of all things NFL and NBA.


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