2024 Presidential Election Odds: Joe Biden Has a 17% Chance of Being Reelected

2024 Presidential Election Odds: Joe Biden Has a 17% Chance of Being Reelected
In three years from now, the United States will be having another Presidential Election. Last time, with Joe Biden taking on Donald Trump, it was one of the more polarizing elections in the history of the country.
Joe Biden ended up winning, with 306 electoral votes to Donald Trump’s 232. While that may not seem like all that long ago, it’s already time to look ahead to 2024 when we will see if Joe Biden is reelected or if someone else will take it home.
Biden is currently 79 years old, and is already the oldest President to serve office. At the time of the 2024 election, he will be 81 on the verge of turning 82 years old. Today, we’re taking a look at the percentage of him winning the election again.
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Joe Biden Election Odds
Right now, Joe Biden isn’t the favorite to win the election. Former President, Donald Trump, is your current leader at +300 odds with Joe Biden at +500. That means that Trump is working with roughly a 25 percent chance of being elected again with Biden coming in at 17 percent to win again in three years.
These two went at it just a year ago, and if Donald Trump were to get the nomination for the Republican Party, he would be trying to do what Grover Cleveland did before him and that’s serve two non-consecutive terms. Cleveland’s first term was 1885-1889 and then again from 1893 to 1897.
For Biden, in recent history at least, there have been a lot of two-term presidents. Barack Obama, George Bush, and Bill Clinton each served two terms before Donald Trump ended that streak in 2020.
Outside of the two nominees from last year, Kamala Harris, Rob DeSantis, and Nikki Haley are the only three potential candidates who are given more than a five percent chance of winning the election.
2024 US President Odds
Name | Odds | Implied Chance |
---|---|---|
Donald Trump | +300 | 25% |
Joe Biden | +500 | 17% |
Kamala Harris | +650 | 13% |
Ron DeSantis | +800 | 11% |
Nikki Haley | +1800 | 5% |