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2022 Midterm Election Odds: David McCormick the Heavy Favorite to be Pennsylvania’s Next Senator

According to the 2022 Midterm Election odds, David McCormick is likely to be Pennsylvania's next Senator. The Pennsylvania Senate race is going to be a tight one, but oddsmakers expect a Republican to win. So the question is, which Republican could it be?
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2022 Midterm Election Odds: David McCormick the Heavy Favorite to be Pennsylvania’s Next Senator

Pennsylvania is going to be one of the most critical Senate races of the 2022 midterm elections. With Republican senator Pat Toomey retiring, both sides are hoping to add fresh young blood to the senate in a battleground state. Oddsmakers believe that Republicans will be able to hold onto the seat.

Oddsmakers are currently giving Republicans -188 odds, or an implied 65.2% chance to win the senate race. Democrats are given +163 odds, or an implied 38.1% chance to take the seat.

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Pennsylvania Senate Election Odds

So, with the Republicans expected to win the question becomes who will represent the party? Oddsmakers believe that former Under Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs, David McCormick, is the heavy favorite. McCormick is given -140 odds, or an implied 58.3% chance to win the primary. Dr. Mehmet Oz is second with +165 odds, or an implied 37.7% chance to win. The gap to third is a large one with former nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania, Jeff Bartos, given +800 odds or an implied 11.1% chance.

Oddsmakers are expecting a red wave to come this November, so it’s no surprise to see them backing the Republicans in a hotly contested state like Pennsylvania. However, bettors are backing the Democrats. Over the last 30 days 66.7% of bets have been placed on the Democrats to win the election. It’s also worth mentioning that John Fetterman outpolls the current Republican favorites.

Odds to Be Elected as Senator

OddsCandidateImplied chance
-140David McCormick58.3%
+165Mehmet Oz37.7%
+800Jeff Bartos11.1%
+900Carla Sands10%
+3300Kathy Barnette2.9%
+5000Keith Rothfus2%
+6600George Bochetto1.5%
+25000Everett Stern0.4%


A PR Associate at @OddsCheckerUS. Available for Podcasts, Radio, and TV. Quoted in Forbes, Chicago Tribune, Sports Illustrated, and more.


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