Donald Trump Indictment: Oddsmakers Give Donald Trump 77.8% Chance to Avoid an Indictment
Oddsmakers Give Donald Trump 77.8% Chance to Avoid an Indictment
The January 6th hearings have been a coup for Republicans, at least that’s what oddsmakers believe. Every single Republican who’s been mentioned by the committee has seen their odds improve across the board ahead of 2022 and even in 2024. However, it doesn’t just stop with election odds.
Donald Trump Indictment Odds: February
In February, oddsmakers gave former President Trump -170 odds to be indicted this year, that’s an implied 63% chance. After yesterday’s explosive testimony by a former staffer, oddsmakers have improved Trump’s odds of avoiding indictment. He’s now given -350 odds, or an implied 77.8% chance to avoid indictment.
Trump also remains the favorite to win the Presidential election in 2024. He’s given +390 odds, or an implied 20.4% chance. Oddsmakers believe his biggest challenge will come from his own party, as Ron DeSantis is given +500 odds, or an implied 16.7% chance to win the election.
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Oddsmakers don’t believe there’s such a thing as bad press right now. The more that people are talking about Trump and the Republican party, the better off they are. Why? Well, the more talked about they are the more galvanized their base is, which means the more likely they are to turn out come election time. That reason may be the key to why oddsmakers don’t believe Trump will be indicted. Would Democrats push for an indictment if it meant the Republican base is that much more fired up?
DONALD TRUMP Odds TO BE INDICTED
| Odds | Yes or No | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|
| -350 | No | 77.8% |
| +225 | Yes | 30.8% |
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A PR Associate at @OddsCheckerUS. Available for Podcasts, Radio, and TV. Quoted in Forbes, Chicago Tribune, Sports Illustrated, and more.