MLB Parlays - Wednesday 04/03
Outstanding day of profit for us yesterday, going 6-1 for +2.9u!
Here are Today’s MLB Picks:
The Phillies remain the only undefeated team in the MLB after an 8-2 drubbing of the Nats in Harper's return to DC last night. They're scored a whopping 31 runs over their opening 4 games as their guys have really been seeing it well so far. Ace Aaron Nola will take the mound after allowing just one run to the Braves over 6 IP in an Opening Day victory. The Nats have been struggling and just lost Trea Turner to an injury so their lineup just got even weaker. I'll ride with the hot Phils.
0.5u - PHI Phillies ML @ -133
Yesterday DraftKings offered boosted odds on Bryce Harper to hit a home run and the Phillies to beat the Nationals (boosted from +1100 to +1300). When Harper and the Phillies did just this they paid out over 90k to bettors. If you missed the boost yesterday, don’t worry: they'll be offering the same boost today!
Corey Kluber will start for the Indians after absorbing a rare loss in his opening start against Minnesota. However, I'm taking that loss with a grain of salt as Kluber allowed just 2 runs over 7 IP, and in addition, he's absolutely feasted on the lowly White Sox in the past as he has more wins against them than any other team in the league, and went 4-0 with a 0.96 ERA against them last season. Meanwhile, Carlos Rodon will start for the Sox after absorbing an opening loss to the Royals, and he ended last season with a 4.18 ERA and lost both his decisions against the Indians. I like Cleveland to notch another victory here and cover their run-line as I don't see Kluber giving up much at all today.
0.5u - CLE Indians -1.5 @ +125
Biggest play of the day here (although still doing small-unit plays in general given how early in the season it is) - Homer Bailey is back after an absolute dumpster fire of a season which inspired over bettors around the world, going a horrible 1-14 with a 6.09 ERA. He gives up runs in boatloads and a Twins team that's mashed 14 runs in their last 2 games should be licking their chops coming into this one. The Royals have had the total get to at least 8 in each of their games so far and I like them to knock in some runs of their own against Kyle Gibson, who got worked by the Red Sox, allowing 5 ER over just 2.2 IP in that start.
1u - Over 8.5 Total Runs @ -118
I've taken the over in the first two games of this series successfully, and we get yet another low total tonight. The Dbacks have gone over this total of 7 runs in each of their first 6 games putting up 40 of their own in that span. They'll face Joey Lucchesi, a southpaw who did horribly against Arizona in his rookie season last year, posting an 0-5 record with a 6.07 ERA in 29.2 IP against them. The Dbacks should be able to continue raking against him as their lineup remains predominantly full of right-handed hitters which is a great matchup against a lefty pitcher. The Padres are in a similar situation as they've added some righties to their lineup and will face Robbie Ray, who is also a lefty. Take the over for the small total in this one.
0.5u - Over 7 Total Runs @ -116
Cubs @ Braves
Both the Cubs and Braves will trot out their Opening Day starters in this one - Jon Lester got the win after allowing just 2 runs over 6 IP, and he remains the staff ace after going 18-6 last season with a 3.32 ERA. While Braves starter Julio Teheran didn't fare as well in his opening start against the Phillies (allowing 3 ER in 5 IP and taking a loss), he's still the Braves' best pitcher and is 3-1 with a 3.44 ERA in his career against the Cubs. I expect both starters to hold it down for their teams and think this game will be fairly low-scoring.
0.5u - Under 9 Total Runs @ -121
The Astros have been a really frustrating team to bet on so far this season, as they've managed to score just 15 runs over their first 6 outings. This is really surprising for a lineup that was expected to rake out the gate, and while I'm sure they'll shake it off I think at the moment they're a good target for under bets. They'll start Gerrit Cole on the mound after he allowed just 1 ER in 6 IP against the Rays in his season debut, and I expect sustained success from him continued from last season when he went 15-5 with a 2.88 ERA. I think he'll hold the Rangers to a low total and don't think the Astros' bats will do too much on the other end, so I'm taking the under.
0.5u - Under 9.5 Total Runs @ -133
The Dodgers' bats have been hot to start off the season and I like this to continue as they try to win the series over the lowly Giants. Ross Stripling will take the mound for them in this one and he threw 5.1 shutout innings in his season debut, and think he's got really solid stuff when he starts for the Dodgers and like him to continue making the most of his opportunity with Kershaw and Hill injured. Meanwhile, Derek Holland will start for the Giants, and he struggled in his season debut, allowing 3 ER in 4 IP to the Padres en route to a loss. He went 0-2 with a 3.92 ERA in 4 starts against the Dodgers last season and I think the Dodgers have the edge in both batting and pitching in this one.
0.5u - LA Dodgers -1.5 @ +113