The final day of May brings us a packed 15-game evening slate of games. There are some cracking matchups, and it could be a very entertaining day of baseball.
Here are Today’s MLB Picks:
Red Sox @ Yankees
My initial reaction was to shy away from this game because Yankees and Red Sox came can be wild. However, Chris Sale’s numbers against the Yankees and in Yankee Stadium are pretty incredible. In 15 career starts, and two relief appearances, against the Yankees, he has allowed just 22 earned runs in 105 2/3 innings. In Yankee Stadium itself, he has thrown 53 1/3 innings and allowed just 14 earned runs. His start earlier this year in Yankee Stadium was not great, but he has turned his game around significantly since then. As for J.A. Happ, he has been up and down this season, but has allowed 12 earned runs in his last three starts, and has somewhat struggled for consistency this season.
1u – BOS Red Sox ML @ +110
Tigers @ Braves
The numbers on this one suggests this game should be a tight low-scoring affair. Spencer Turnbull has a 2.97 ERA on the season, and has yet to be completely blown up this season. Meanwhile, Mike Foltynewicz has an ugly 5.67 ERA but has pitched much better the last two times out. Foltynewicz has allowed just two earned runs in his last 12 innings, striking out 10 and walking none in the process. Additionally, Tigers road games see the under hit 78% of the time and the Braves are around 50/50 at home.
1u – Under 9 Total Runs @ -113
Indians @ White Sox
Backing the over with the Indians is a somewhat brave thing to do, given how they rank in the bottom third of the league offensive, and the top third with their pitching. However, their last five games have seen the over hit, and this pitching matchup is interesting to say the least. Trevor Bauer should be the stud of the matchup, but in his last five starts he has allowed 21 earned runs to score. Included in that is a seven-earned run performance at home against these very same White Sox. On the other side Dylan Covey is giving up a 5.47 ERA this season, including 13 earned runs in his last 20 1/3 innings.
1u – Over 9.5 Total Runs @ -117
Angels @ Mariners
I am not sure how high they could make this line before I would not consider the over. The pitching matchup is one of the least convincing of the season. Tyler Skaggs is allowing a 4.40 ERA, including 17 earned on the road in 23 1/3 innings. Mike Leake is allowing a 4.93 ERA, including 12 runs in his last 11 2/3 innings. Additionally, the Mariners see the over hit 67% of time overall, and 64% of the time at home. On the road, the Angels see the over hit on lines above nine runs 50% of the time.
1u – Over 9 Total Runs @ -120
By Ben Rolfe