We almost have a full house on Wednesday, with 28 of the 30 teams taking to the field. There is small three-game afternoon slate followed by a bumper nine game evening slate.
Here are Today’s MLB Picks:
Cardinals @ Brewers
One of the hottest pitchers in baseball takes to the mound again today in the form of Jack Flaherty. Flaherty’s numbers since the All-Star break just get better and better. In eight starts he has pitched 49 1/3 innings, allowed just four earned runs, struck out 64 and allowed a total of 40 combined hits plus walks. Numbers do not really get any better than that in the major leagues. Today he faces the Milwaukee Brewers who have scored just five runs in this series, at an average of 2.5 runs per game.
1u –MIL Brewers Under 3.5 Total Runs @ +100
Orioles @ Nationals
This is a massive pitching mismatch, with Max Scherzer taking on Asher Wojciechowski. I do not think Wojciechowski ca go toe-to-toe to Scherzer in this one, but I do think he can be more than solid, as he has been in recent starts. In his last 10 starts he has allowed more than three earned runs just twice and has allowed seven earned in his last 15 1/3 innings. With Scherzer and his 2.41 ERA on the other side, the total is really dependent on Wojciechowski. Scherzer has allowed three or more earned runs just once in his last 10 starts, so as long as Wojciechowski and the bullpen can keep it under six runs the under should hit here. In pitcher friendly conditions I feel they should be able to keep this hit-or-miss Nationals offense under wraps.
1u – Under 8.5 Total Runs @ +120
Cubs @ Mets
This could be a fantastic matchup between Kyle Hendricks and Noah Syndergaard. Neither offense is particular head and shoulders above the other right now, and both pitchers are pitching well. Hendricks ha a blip in Cincinnati, but outside of that he has not allowed three or more earned runs in any of his other 10 most recent starts. Syndergaard is another pitcher who has been solid since the All-Star break, allowing just 11 earned runs in his last eight starts. With the weather expected to favor pitching and some rain and storms potentially on the radar this could be a pitcher dominated game.
1u – Under 8.5 Total Runs @ -118
White Sox @ Twins
The White Sox did not produce for me last night, but everything is in place for them to step up and produce today. Jake Odorizzi is on the mound in hitter friendly conditions, included reasonably strong winds blowing out for the plate. There are not many worse things for a predominantly fly ball pitcher than outward blowing winds inflating the chance of home runs being hit. The White Sox have Ross Detweiler on the mound who has been somewhat mixed recently. His 5.51 ERA is a concern, but he has allowed two or fewer earned runs in three of his last five starts. I am banking on Detweiler to keep this close while the White Sox hitters get after Odorizzi.
1u – CHI White Sox +1.5 @ +105
By Ben Rolfe