Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Predictions: MLB Over/Under Picks

Sunday’s MLB Over/Under Bet: Gallen continues chase of major league history
Matt Zylbert
Sun, July 26, 6:39 AM EDT

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres

Over/Under: 8.5

First pitch: 4:10 p.m. ET

Probable pitchers: Zac Gallen (0-0, -.-- ERA) vs. Garrett Richards (-.-- ERA)

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Latest Odds

San Diego Padres -120 Best Odds: Bet365 - Bet Now

Arizona Diamondbacks +115 Best Odds:  BetMGM - Bet Now

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Predictions

Many may not be aware but Gallen is in close pursuit of major league history.

The soon-to-be 25-year-old first arrived on the scene about midway through last season — then with the Miami Marlins — and proceeded to mostly marvel during his 15 starts. Even after he was inexplicably traded to the Diamondbacks, Gallen apparently was not phased, ultimately holding his opponent to three runs or fewer each time out.

This rookie performance was so significant that it has Gallen only three more consecutive such outings away from tying the record — held by Steve Rogers (18) — of most starts allowing no more than three runs to begin one’s career.

Such consistency is adored toward under bets, so we’ll try to ride Gallen for one more similar showing. If he can simply notch another one or close to it, that puts us in a nice position to claim this bet.

The other starter, meanwhile, Richards, has the potential to keep any foe from plating much activity on the scoreboard.

The former Los Angeles Angel returned from Tommy John a season ago, taking a handful of assignments, and while he wasn’t particularly good (until the last one, coincidentally against Arizona), it was still an important step in setting up Richards for a successful return in 2020.

I actually labeled the right-hander as one of my top three sleepers entering the campaign and he was certainly exhibiting flirtations of a breakout in the original spring training. Richards continued his solid work into summer camp and I believe he will convert on that to get back where he once was. A healthy Richards in rhythm is undoubtedly an upper echelon pitcher. Plus, he’s got an elite bullpen behind him.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Best Bet

Bet: UNDER 8.5 (-115)

MLB Picks & Leans - Other Games July 25 Slate

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets: LEAN Over 9.5

Detroit Tigers at Cincinnati Reds: LEAN Under 9.5

Zylbert’s 2020 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: 1-1, -0.17 unit

Yesterday’s Result: Brewers-Cubs Under 10 (loss)

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

Matt Zylbert
@MattZylbert
Zylbert has been writing about baseball over/under bets for nearly a decade, attaining notable success in just about each season. Throughout the last three years, the veteran gambling analyst has amassed a 307-239-25 (56.2%) record on regular season totals while always recommending to flat bet every game for one unit.
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