Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: MLB Over/Under Picks

Wednesday’s MLB Over/Under Bet: Will Boyd buoy back?
Matt Zylbert
Wed, August 12, 7:59 AM EDT

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers

Over/Under: 9

First pitch: 1:10 p.m. ET

Probable pitchers: Dylan Cease (2-1, 4.05 ERA) vs. Matthew Boyd (0-1, 9.20 ERA)

Simply put, Boyd is just too good to continue struggling in the manner that he has. Shockingly, through three starts, no one’s allowed more earned runs (15) in the American League than the Detroit lefty.

But as Boyd said, “We are only three starts into this thing.” Ron Gardenhire even still referred to him as “our No. 1 starter,” and that’s with solid reasoning.

Last season, the 29-year-old legitimately established himself as one of the better left-handers in the AL. Although he finished with a pedestrian 4.56 ERA, Boyd had a nice run going through the first half of the campaign (3.87 ERA going into the All-Star break) and ultimately strung together the sixth-highest strikeout rate (11.6 K/9) in all of Major League Baseball.

Boyd will be fine. He doesn’t really have to be at his overpowering finest considering the potential of the other starter in this series finale, Cease. The former sixth-round draft choice has looked pretty sharp in the early going, wielding quite a considerable jump in his velocity.

Despite walking five against the Cleveland Indians during his last turn in the rotation, Cease kept them out of the scoring column in all five of his innings — an impressive feat no matter the circumstances. He compiled a quality start before that, indicating the right-hander is trending in the right direction.

Perhaps most importantly, Cease has fared well in his encounters with the Tigers. As a rookie last year, he beat them all three times and crafted a desirable 3.38 ERA in the process. Furthermore, he picked up 20 K’s across those 16 innings.

Cease will be facing largely the same Detroit lineup from a season ago, with the addition of Jonathan Schoop (CJ Cron just went on the injured list, which is significant). Being that the total is 9, another quality start could lead the way.

Bet: UNDER 9 (+100)

MLB Leans

MIA/TOR Under 8.5

KC/CIN Under 10

TB/BOS Under 9

2020 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: 5-12-2, -8.91 units

Yesterday’s Result: Royals-Reds Under 8.5 (“loss”)

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

Matt Zylbert
@MattZylbert
Zylbert has been writing about baseball over/under bets for nearly a decade, attaining notable success in just about each season. Throughout the last three years, the veteran gambling analyst has amassed a 307-239-25 (56.2%) record on regular season totals while always recommending to flat bet every game for one unit.
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