Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: MLB Over/Under Picks

Thursday’s MLB Over/Under Bet: Are Voth, Peterson legit?
Matt Zylbert
Thu, August 13, 8:11 AM EDT

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

Over/Under: 9

First pitch: 1:10 p.m. ET

Probable pitchers: Austin Voth (1-0, 1.80 ERA) vs. David Peterson (2-1, 3.78 ERA)

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Predictions

OK, certainly not the most ideal scenario to grab an under consisting of two pitchers that have made a grand total of 15 major league starts in their still-young careers. But considering what Voth and Peterson have displayed thus far, it can be a profitable endeavor in this instance.

Voth is the more experienced of the two, coming up for a cup of coffee two years ago. He got his first extensive time at the big league level last season and shined in eight starts (and one relief appearance), pasting a nifty 3.30 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in his 43.2 innings while holding opposing hitters to a minuscule .213 batting clip.

The right-hander allowed only two runs total in both his 2020 assignments, so apparently he’s picked up right where he left off, hence why he was tabbed for the starting pitching rotation in the first place.

And though it’s a small sample size, Voth has fared well against the Mets. In two appearances (including one start) spanning 7.1 scoreless frames, he yielded just three hits. New York’s core of mashers in the lineup today — Pete Alonso, Michael Conforto, J.D. Davis, Jeff McNeil and Brandon Nimmo — is a combined 3-for-14 (.214) with five strikeouts off Voth.

Then there’s the rookie Peterson, who is getting the nod for his fourth career assignment. The former first-round pick has impressed so far, etching a 3.78 ERA and yielding three or fewer runs in each outing. That type of consistency can come in handy for an over/under this high.

Of course, the glaring issue here is that the Nats actually possess the highest team OPS (1.020) opposite left-handed pitching in the early going. I take that and raise it with the belief how that mark obviously isn’t sustainable, especially with a lineup on paper that really isn’t that impressive to begin with.

Such is definitely the case when phenom Juan Soto isn’t in the batting order, which is expected to be the case after he’s played in six straight days. Being a day game after a nighttime affair, look for both clubs to have at least slightly downgraded lineups in the finale of this four-game set.

Bet: UNDER 9 (-114)

Thusday's MLB Leans

PIT/CIN Under 9

2020 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: 5-13-2, -9.91 units

Yesterday’s Result: White Sox-Tigers Under 9 (loss)

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

Under 9 @ -114

Matt Zylbert
@MattZylbert
Zylbert has been writing about baseball over/under bets for nearly a decade, attaining notable success in just about each season. Throughout the last three years, the veteran gambling analyst has amassed a 307-239-25 (56.2%) record on regular season totals while always recommending to flat bet every game for one unit.
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