Cleveland Indians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: MLB Over/Under Picks

Friday’s MLB Over/Under Bet: McKenzie follows up sterling debut
Matt Zylbert
Fri, August 28, 9:26 AM EDT

Cleveland Indians vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Over/Under: 9

First pitch: 8:15 p.m. ET

TV: FS1

Probable pitchers: Triston McKenzie (1-0, 1.50 ERA) vs. Daniel Ponce de Leon (0-2, 5.25 ERA)

Cleveland Indians vs. St. Louis Cardinals Predictions

The career of Triston McKenzie really couldn’t have started out any better.

Last Saturday when the 23-year-old made his Major League debut, he was nothing short of dazzling, yielding only one run on a couple of hits across six sharp innings of work. He also recorded 10 strikeouts compared to a single walk.

From that outing alone, you can surmise McKenzie is going to be ascending pretty quickly. And for his second act, the 6-foot-5 right-hander gets to brace for an offense that hasn’t quite gotten going yet.

While McKenzie comes in with a high ceiling, we’re also going to need the other starter for this interleague series opener, Daniel Ponce de Leon, to hang in there.

The third-year righty hasn’t yet completed five innings in a start, but this will only be Ponce de Leon’s fourth one. And based on what he’s shown in his prior two seasons, don’t anticipate that trend continuing on.

Just like his counterpart, Ponce de Leon has potential worth noting and it’s why it makes him worth backing him as he seeks to enter an upswing. Ponce de Leon made eight starts last year and was mostly solid, amassing a respectable 4.15 ERA.

The St. Louis starter is also someone with the ability to notch a strikeout per inning, making him someone that can ultimately survive this continued adaption to the universal designated hitter. Cleveland has some exciting young hitters but they’re also the third-lowest scoring team in the American League, giving Ponce de Leon a shot at his first quality start of the season.

Bet: UNDER 9 (-125)

MLB Leans - August 28

KC/CHW Under 10

SD/COL Under 11.5

2020 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: 9-21-4, -14.71 units

Yesterday’s Result: Mariners-Padres Under 6.5 (“loss”)

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

Indians vs. Cardinals Under 9 @ -125

Matt Zylbert
@MattZylbert
Zylbert has been writing about baseball over/under bets for nearly a decade, attaining notable success in just about each season. Throughout the last three years, the veteran gambling analyst has amassed a 307-239-25 (56.2%) record on regular season totals while always recommending to flat bet every game for one unit.
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