Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays
First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
Probable pitchers: Dane Dunning (1-0, 1.80 ERA) vs. Tyler Glasnow (0-0, 0.75 ERA)
Glasnow just might be salivating at the matchup he has on tap. It’s a date with the strikeout-laden Rangers batting order.
Considering his dominant beginning to the campaign, bettors would be especially wise to trust him right now, as Glasnow has looked like one of the best aces out there, picking up where left off in October.
Through two assignments — both of which registered as quality starts — only one run’s been scored off the former Pittsburgh Pirate. On top of that, Glasnow wields a superb 15-2 K/BB ratio across his 12 innings. He’s also yielded only five hits.
For his third turn, the strikeout artist will get a team that racks up plenty of K’s at the plate. Texas is currently striking out once every 3.1 at-bats, which is horrible, and it sustains a trend that has surrounded this Rangers offense in recent seasons. They’re plain not hitting either, carrying a .223 team batting average — one year after finishing dead last in the American League with a putrid .217 mark.
So, the recipe is in play for another signature strong performance from Glasnow. In that case, the other starter, Dunning, surviving can decide this wager.
Can the Rangers’ prized import from the Lance Lynn grade be trusted in his second start with the club? Well, I’m thinking yes.
Dunning was terrific in season debut, stringing together five sharp innings against a potent Toronto Blue Jays lineup and scattering only three baserunners. He also walked no batters and struck out six.
Like their opponent, Tampa pens a lineup card featuring plenty of strikeouts. The Rays actually struck out more than any other team a year ago and those tendencies look to be continuing based on their current rate of once every 3.4 ABs.
Overall, it’s a matchup Dunning can handle, even this early in his development. Don’t forget that the former first-round draft pick was already looking at least serviceable in his first taste of the big leagues last season, when he went 2-0 in seven starts with a 3.97 ERA and limited opposing hitters to a .197 batting average.
Make sure you grab this when you can at 7.5, seeing as how the total is already dropping in some books. Then count on Glasgow leading the way to a low score.
MLB Expert Picks
UNDER 7.5 @ -125 (Click to bet)
MLB Free Picks
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Monday's MLB Leans
Mariners-Orioles Under 8.5
Phillies-Mets Over 8.5
Angels-Royals Over 9
Indians-White Sox Under 8.5
Athletics-Diamondbacks Under 9.5
2021 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: 5-6, -1.72 units
Yesterday’s Result: Rockies-Giants Under 8 (WIN)
*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit